WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.170 --> 00:00:02.753 Lively music 2 00:00:04.130 --> 00:00:08.310 line:15% For the past 20 years, BCG has ranked companies according 3 00:00:08.310 --> 00:00:11.090 line:15% to total shareholder return, 4 00:00:11.090 --> 00:00:13.350 a key value creation metric, 5 00:00:13.350 --> 00:00:16.520 which captures the true bottom line for investors. 6 00:00:16.520 --> 00:00:20.040 And in this year's 2020 edition for insurance companies, 7 00:00:20.040 --> 00:00:23.170 we look back at the last five years' performance 8 00:00:23.170 --> 00:00:24.463 of insurance companies, 9 00:00:24.463 --> 00:00:26.950 but also year-to-date obviously 10 00:00:26.950 --> 00:00:30.530 given the special situation with the COVID crisis. 11 00:00:30.530 --> 00:00:31.681 And as a new feature, 12 00:00:31.681 --> 00:00:35.620 I'm very proud to say we have developed a new deep dive 13 00:00:35.620 --> 00:00:37.400 on return on equity, 14 00:00:37.400 --> 00:00:40.958 and what is allowing high return on equity 15 00:00:40.958 --> 00:00:43.970 and what is allowing low return on equity. 16 00:00:43.970 --> 00:00:48.240 In this year's report, we have three key main findings. 17 00:00:48.240 --> 00:00:51.100 Number one, the insurance sector delivered 18 00:00:51.100 --> 00:00:52.730 over the last five years 19 00:00:52.730 --> 00:00:55.971 roughly 8% total shareholder return, 20 00:00:55.971 --> 00:00:58.460 roughly in line with the market. 21 00:00:58.460 --> 00:01:00.520 But the top quartile did a lot better 22 00:01:00.520 --> 00:01:02.820 at 20% total shareholder return. 23 00:01:02.820 --> 00:01:04.110 So there's a wide gap 24 00:01:04.110 --> 00:01:05.980 and this is mainly driven we found 25 00:01:05.980 --> 00:01:07.360 by book value growth. 26 00:01:07.360 --> 00:01:10.300 The growth is the number one driver of outperformance 27 00:01:10.300 --> 00:01:11.880 our analysis suggests. 28 00:01:11.880 --> 00:01:14.320 Secondly, year-to-date 29 00:01:14.320 --> 00:01:15.880 with the corona crisis, 30 00:01:15.880 --> 00:01:17.880 the insurance sector underperformed 31 00:01:17.880 --> 00:01:20.210 by some 11 to 12%. 32 00:01:20.210 --> 00:01:21.530 But I think what is important 33 00:01:21.530 --> 00:01:24.490 is that this gap has actually widened 34 00:01:24.490 --> 00:01:26.470 between March and June, 35 00:01:26.470 --> 00:01:28.670 and this suggests clearly that investors 36 00:01:28.670 --> 00:01:30.090 have more long-term worries 37 00:01:30.090 --> 00:01:31.600 about the insurance sector, 38 00:01:31.600 --> 00:01:33.900 compared to the rest of the market. 39 00:01:33.900 --> 00:01:36.010 The most surprising finding this year 40 00:01:36.010 --> 00:01:40.260 was as part of our new return on tangible equity analysis, 41 00:01:40.260 --> 00:01:43.670 to see the quite enormous performance gap 42 00:01:43.670 --> 00:01:47.050 between the top and the bottom quartile per segment. 43 00:01:47.050 --> 00:01:50.010 So take the P&C segment, for example, 44 00:01:50.010 --> 00:01:54.330 the top quartile operates at as much as 32% return 45 00:01:54.330 --> 00:01:55.900 on tangible equity, 46 00:01:55.900 --> 00:01:57.850 and the bottom quartile just at 14, 47 00:01:57.850 --> 00:02:00.040 so a 18 percentage point gap 48 00:02:00.040 --> 00:02:02.790 between the top and the bottom quartile. 49 00:02:02.790 --> 00:02:04.420 Quite enormous, and we don't see this 50 00:02:04.420 --> 00:02:06.260 in other sectors as much. 51 00:02:06.260 --> 00:02:08.539 And this just shows, on the one side, 52 00:02:08.539 --> 00:02:10.810 that sector allocation is key, 53 00:02:10.810 --> 00:02:14.810 because P&C is very, very strong in terms of performance, 54 00:02:14.810 --> 00:02:16.410 but within each sector 55 00:02:16.410 --> 00:02:19.520 there is enormous room to outperform. 56 00:02:19.520 --> 00:02:22.590 We found really three main differentiating factors 57 00:02:22.590 --> 00:02:25.340 between the top and the bottom quartile 58 00:02:25.340 --> 00:02:27.720 in terms of total shareholder return. 59 00:02:27.720 --> 00:02:30.880 Number one, and most important, is focus. 60 00:02:30.880 --> 00:02:35.560 Focus on one segment, for example, P&C or Life 61 00:02:35.560 --> 00:02:38.380 and focus on one to four markets. 62 00:02:38.380 --> 00:02:39.760 That is what we found 63 00:02:39.760 --> 00:02:43.680 is driving outperformance most importantly. 64 00:02:43.680 --> 00:02:45.950 Secondly, capital efficiency 65 00:02:45.950 --> 00:02:48.491 and cost efficiency are key. 66 00:02:48.491 --> 00:02:51.390 Not surprising, given insurance operates 67 00:02:51.390 --> 00:02:54.450 in mainly commoditized markets. 68 00:02:54.450 --> 00:02:57.280 And thirdly, and increasingly importantly, 69 00:02:57.280 --> 00:02:58.900 digital leadership. 70 00:02:58.900 --> 00:03:02.500 Digital leadership, our index found, leads 71 00:03:02.500 --> 00:03:05.770 to stronger growth, higher net promoter score, 72 00:03:05.770 --> 00:03:08.010 lower costs, and all together, 73 00:03:08.010 --> 00:03:11.040 it's what uses over a three, four-time horizon, 74 00:03:11.040 --> 00:03:14.590 13 to 14% higher book value growth. 75 00:03:14.590 --> 00:03:16.970 Tremendous outperformance. 76 00:03:16.970 --> 00:03:18.078 There's a huge opportunity 77 00:03:18.078 --> 00:03:21.320 for once to make a leap frog to become 78 00:03:21.320 --> 00:03:24.050 what we call a bionic insurer, 79 00:03:24.050 --> 00:03:28.180 which just means fully digitizing the value chain, 80 00:03:28.180 --> 00:03:32.390 leveraging, harnessing the power of artificial intelligence. 81 00:03:32.390 --> 00:03:34.310 And the good news here is that investors 82 00:03:34.310 --> 00:03:37.470 actually expect management to invest now, 83 00:03:37.470 --> 00:03:42.290 because 2020 is anyway a lost year in terms of profits. 84 00:03:42.290 --> 00:03:45.440 And so now is the moment to develop the skills, 85 00:03:45.440 --> 00:03:48.650 the capabilities to become a leader tomorrow 86 00:03:48.650 --> 00:03:51.206 in terms of digital.