WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.190 --> 00:00:04.420 Patrick, Paddy, hi. Let's start with you, Paddy... 2 00:00:04.420 --> 00:00:05.860 decarbonization is all over the place at this COP. 3 00:00:05.860 --> 00:00:07.780 What are your impressions thus far? 4 00:00:08.570 --> 00:00:13.420 Lots of positives, in that decarbonization opportunity, options, 5 00:00:13.420 --> 00:00:15.860 all understood. Private sector wants to get on with it, 6 00:00:15.860 --> 00:00:17.100 is very impatient. 7 00:00:17.690 --> 00:00:21.660 Lots of dialogue on funding continues to be a big theme. 8 00:00:22.620 --> 00:00:26.740 How we continue to fund that transition in the emerging world. 9 00:00:27.380 --> 00:00:31.830 Also a big doubt as to whether the energy crisis 10 00:00:32.490 --> 00:00:37.270 and rampant inflation is now going to leave renewable energy behind again. 11 00:00:38.350 --> 00:00:39.630 But the fact of the matter is, 12 00:00:39.630 --> 00:00:43.270 I think there is also the understanding that that's not entirely true, 13 00:00:43.270 --> 00:00:47.710 because fossil fuel prices are going up and the cost of 14 00:00:47.710 --> 00:00:51.630 generating with fossil fuels is also way higher than through renewables. 15 00:00:51.630 --> 00:00:55.590 So lots of will, commitment, and focus on action. 16 00:00:55.600 --> 00:00:58.390 Patrick, as Paddy mentioned there, the energy crisis, 17 00:00:58.400 --> 00:01:00.710 markets in turmoil over recent months. 18 00:01:00.870 --> 00:01:04.630 What impact is that having on decarbonization now and into the future? 19 00:01:05.270 --> 00:01:07.230 It's a fossil energy crisis, right? 20 00:01:07.230 --> 00:01:11.910 Where we see scarcity and increasing prices on the fossil side... gas... 21 00:01:12.130 --> 00:01:15.830 oil, and then as a result, power from that. But to me, 22 00:01:16.100 --> 00:01:20.230 this significantly has improved the business case of any green technology. 23 00:01:20.230 --> 00:01:24.710 Literally any climate and decarbonization lever is now more economic than it was 24 00:01:24.710 --> 00:01:28.350 a year ago. We talk efficiency, we talk renewable energy, we talk hydrogen, 25 00:01:28.840 --> 00:01:31.350 even CCS, Carbon Capture and Storage. 26 00:01:31.810 --> 00:01:36.470 The challenging aspect is that the CEOs' agendas are busy now with short term 27 00:01:36.470 --> 00:01:39.670 crisis fighting, it's literally a fight for management attention, 28 00:01:39.670 --> 00:01:42.710 but it's much less a fight for business cases and fundamentals. 29 00:01:42.800 --> 00:01:46.590 So we need to survive the short term and need to make sure we have sufficient 30 00:01:46.990 --> 00:01:51.790 power of decision making and reorientation to capitalize on the much 31 00:01:51.790 --> 00:01:56.310 more attractive business case for a green transition that luckily was triggered 32 00:01:56.310 --> 00:01:57.310 by the fossil energy crisis. 33 00:01:57.720 --> 00:01:58.950 I absolutely agree with you. 34 00:01:58.950 --> 00:02:03.350 I think the energy crisis is actually been a helpful thing in that it has 35 00:02:03.460 --> 00:02:07.070 really triggered the focus. There's a lot more concern around security, 36 00:02:07.070 --> 00:02:11.790 but now we are starting to understand that decarbonization and security 37 00:02:12.230 --> 00:02:13.910 actually... they don't need to compromise. 38 00:02:13.910 --> 00:02:18.430 They are actually one and the same in that the decarbonized energy solutions 39 00:02:18.530 --> 00:02:19.230 are very, 40 00:02:19.230 --> 00:02:23.950 very local and they require more interconnection for resilience 41 00:02:24.610 --> 00:02:29.110 and for efficiency. So security, 42 00:02:30.390 --> 00:02:31.430 social responsibility, 43 00:02:31.800 --> 00:02:35.510 climate are all integrated in the solution. 44 00:02:35.510 --> 00:02:38.670 So the energy trilemma is no more, right? Historically, 45 00:02:38.670 --> 00:02:40.750 we would've said there's a trade-off of sustainability, 46 00:02:40.750 --> 00:02:42.870 affordability and security of supply. 47 00:02:43.300 --> 00:02:46.710 It's now all aligned... in most parts... 48 00:02:47.070 --> 00:02:47.790 So Paddy, 49 00:02:47.790 --> 00:02:51.110 what do companies and governments need to watch out for in this 'new normal' 50 00:02:51.110 --> 00:02:51.900 context? 51 00:02:51.900 --> 00:02:52.390 Look, 52 00:02:52.390 --> 00:02:57.230 governments need to continue to make sure that the enabling environment is there 53 00:02:57.230 --> 00:03:01.320 for the private sector to invest, the ambitions are clearly set out, 54 00:03:01.460 --> 00:03:06.000 and to follow through with regulation and policy actions. The private sector, 55 00:03:06.000 --> 00:03:09.680 on the other hand, now is very efficient at starting to deliver... 56 00:03:09.960 --> 00:03:14.480 needs to recognize that the risk paradigm has changed. 57 00:03:14.480 --> 00:03:18.120 When energy was being supplied at a high price, 58 00:03:18.800 --> 00:03:22.400 using the fossil fuel energy era, 59 00:03:22.400 --> 00:03:26.040 the risks in a developing country - expensive 60 00:03:26.040 --> 00:03:30.680 energy is a very different risk to when we are able to deliver now renewable 61 00:03:30.680 --> 00:03:32.640 energy at much lower prices. 62 00:03:32.970 --> 00:03:37.480 So we need to be reevaluating the risk model, how we price money. 63 00:03:38.710 --> 00:03:43.240 I think for companies and for financiers, 64 00:03:43.510 --> 00:03:48.040 that is where the real opportunity is, and that is, I think, 65 00:03:48.040 --> 00:03:49.400 our responsibility now. 66 00:03:49.570 --> 00:03:53.320 So we also need to take that responsibility on our shoulders as private sector. 67 00:03:53.820 --> 00:03:57.640 The only addition I would say - for a company, for a private sector player, 68 00:03:57.640 --> 00:04:01.480 figure out 'what's your business model in the net zero world' and then work 69 00:04:01.480 --> 00:04:04.040 backwards and take bold decisions. And the bolder you are, 70 00:04:04.140 --> 00:04:07.240 the more you take risk out of this because technology will evolve faster. 71 00:04:07.270 --> 00:04:09.240 Downstream commitments have been made. 72 00:04:09.240 --> 00:04:12.840 The pull for green technologies we see on the steel side, on the ammonia side, 73 00:04:12.840 --> 00:04:14.760 et cetera, is already kicking in. 74 00:04:14.770 --> 00:04:18.160 So there's really a risk of missing out and not being fast enough in this 75 00:04:18.160 --> 00:04:22.480 transition, recognizing it's for almost all sectors, not for every single one. 76 00:04:22.610 --> 00:04:25.640 Patrick Paddy, thank you so much. Thank you.