WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.200 --> 00:00:04.760 Andreas, thank you so much for joining us today here in Davos. What I'd like to, 2 00:00:04.760 --> 00:00:09.760 to start out on, with many CEOs, we have this discussion that 20 years ago, 3 00:00:10.000 --> 00:00:14.600 as a CEO, you could expect to manage crises in 10, 4 00:00:14.600 --> 00:00:15.760 15% of your time, 5 00:00:16.120 --> 00:00:20.280 and you could expect some steady-state of business as usual for the rest of 6 00:00:20.280 --> 00:00:24.440 your time. And when you look at data today, it tells you basically the reverse, 7 00:00:24.440 --> 00:00:29.120 that CEOs manage layers and layers of crises as their new normal, 8 00:00:29.120 --> 00:00:30.720 if you'd like to call it that way. 9 00:00:31.280 --> 00:00:36.040 And I'm just curious to hear your view on crises in 2023. 10 00:00:36.080 --> 00:00:37.200 Which ones you, 11 00:00:37.200 --> 00:00:40.640 you think we're probably close to solving and what's on your mind? 12 00:00:40.640 --> 00:00:42.840 Thanks, and thank you for having me here, Judith. 13 00:00:42.840 --> 00:00:46.600 Well this is a problem that we're facing every day. 14 00:00:46.600 --> 00:00:49.000 We try to find answers to all those issues. 15 00:00:49.680 --> 00:00:53.880 We're shifting towards a multipolar world that's accelerated by COVID, 16 00:00:53.920 --> 00:00:57.840 accelerated by the war in Ukraine, and many, many more things. 17 00:00:57.840 --> 00:00:59.120 Climate change is just one topic. 18 00:00:59.640 --> 00:01:02.400 I think the most important thing we've got to do is, 19 00:01:02.400 --> 00:01:04.920 and that's more important than ever before, is cooperation. 20 00:01:04.920 --> 00:01:08.960 Cooperation between organizations because the problems are so big, 21 00:01:08.960 --> 00:01:12.240 they're interconnected, and we can't solve them on our own. 22 00:01:12.240 --> 00:01:15.560 That's why side by side with partners, 23 00:01:15.560 --> 00:01:18.360 I think that's the rule of the game. Otherwise, 24 00:01:18.480 --> 00:01:23.400 I don't see us managing basically the severity and the 25 00:01:23.400 --> 00:01:27.360 interconnectedness of risks. We don't have all answers. We'll make mistakes, 26 00:01:27.800 --> 00:01:30.720 but cooperation, I think is the overarching theme. 27 00:01:31.520 --> 00:01:32.880 Thank you. Look, 28 00:01:32.880 --> 00:01:37.160 I recall an interview I had to do as a BCG baby in 2005, 29 00:01:37.160 --> 00:01:39.480 ages ago. You know, 30 00:01:39.840 --> 00:01:43.680 our obsession with both climate and sustainability on the one side and, 31 00:01:43.680 --> 00:01:47.800 and data and AI on the other. And so 2005, I was sent to the, 32 00:01:48.160 --> 00:01:50.640 to the head of the board of Swiss Re back in the day. 33 00:01:51.720 --> 00:01:56.680 And we were talking about trust and the role of businesses in creating societal 34 00:01:56.680 --> 00:01:57.360 trust. 35 00:01:57.360 --> 00:02:02.080 And he told me that Swiss Re had hired their first climate 36 00:02:02.520 --> 00:02:06.080 scientists in the 1970s. I still recall because he said: 37 00:02:06.080 --> 00:02:07.920 this was probably before you were born. 38 00:02:08.560 --> 00:02:12.480 And if you look at this long cycle that you as a company have invested in this 39 00:02:12.480 --> 00:02:17.160 and you know, the latest trends in in data, AI, analytics, 40 00:02:17.520 --> 00:02:19.280 what are you watching out for most? 41 00:02:19.840 --> 00:02:24.240 Uh, first of all, our purpose is to make the world more resilient. 42 00:02:24.560 --> 00:02:28.280 And that is resonating very well. So climate change, et cetera, 43 00:02:28.280 --> 00:02:32.720 that was always at the center of what we were concerned with because we are the 44 00:02:32.720 --> 00:02:33.960 shock absorber in the industry. 45 00:02:33.960 --> 00:02:37.600 So we are looking at insuring and reinsuring natural 46 00:02:37.600 --> 00:02:42.560 catastrophes, earthquakes, floods, hurricanes, whatever. 47 00:02:43.280 --> 00:02:47.240 So that's a centerpiece of our works. Swiss Re Institutes, 48 00:02:47.240 --> 00:02:52.200 they came up with some analysis and the outcome was actually 49 00:02:52.200 --> 00:02:54.840 that there are no winners in the world, no winners. 50 00:02:54.840 --> 00:02:56.520 That means everybody's impacted. 51 00:02:56.920 --> 00:03:01.800 And it's actually worse if we don't do anything in the most severe scenario, 52 00:03:02.080 --> 00:03:06.920 we see that a fifth of world GDP in the mid-century, 53 00:03:06.920 --> 00:03:11.760 next mid-century will actually be lost. So if you look at the world, 54 00:03:11.760 --> 00:03:16.000 obviously there are discrepancies between regions and if you look at 55 00:03:16.400 --> 00:03:20.760 Southeast Asia, emerging Asia, we call them, that's the area, 56 00:03:20.760 --> 00:03:23.320 the region that is most impacted. 57 00:03:23.320 --> 00:03:25.920 Mostly also not only because of the geographical situation, 58 00:03:25.920 --> 00:03:27.800 but also because of the composition of the economy. 59 00:03:28.320 --> 00:03:32.160 So you can see that those who depend on agriculture and tourism, 60 00:03:32.280 --> 00:03:36.760 they're heavily impacted more so than Europe with just more 61 00:03:36.760 --> 00:03:38.000 service-centered, et cetera. 62 00:03:38.480 --> 00:03:43.320 So I think this is center of our 63 00:03:43.320 --> 00:03:46.360 work and Swiss Re Institute is known for that. 64 00:03:47.120 --> 00:03:50.600 We were starting early and the data that we collected, 65 00:03:50.880 --> 00:03:53.440 that's claims data, that's modeling, 66 00:03:53.440 --> 00:03:58.160 that's inputting every new information on 67 00:03:58.160 --> 00:04:02.440 natural catastrophe into our models to keep it updated. That's very rich. 68 00:04:02.440 --> 00:04:04.680 That's one of our very important data assets. 69 00:04:05.280 --> 00:04:08.800 When you look at the, the work you've also done at the Institute, 70 00:04:08.800 --> 00:04:13.440 really in quantifying the cost of climate change and not the cost in 20 years, 71 00:04:13.440 --> 00:04:15.800 but also the cost that hits companies today and tomorrow, 72 00:04:15.880 --> 00:04:17.959 that has been really groundbreaking. 73 00:04:19.160 --> 00:04:24.040 How do you see industries and and sectors picking that work up and turning that 74 00:04:24.040 --> 00:04:25.400 into very practical action? 75 00:04:25.800 --> 00:04:29.560 It's well known. All our publications are being read quite heavily. 76 00:04:29.800 --> 00:04:33.200 But, and you were mentioning AI before or data, 77 00:04:33.440 --> 00:04:38.440 and I actually have to pick this up because what we realize is that data is 78 00:04:38.440 --> 00:04:40.560 disorganized and dispersed everywhere. 79 00:04:40.680 --> 00:04:45.320 So if companies really want to find the answer to addressing climate 80 00:04:45.320 --> 00:04:49.680 change, then they need data. Now, data needs to be organized. 81 00:04:49.680 --> 00:04:51.920 You need to make sense of data. It needs to be accessible. 82 00:04:51.920 --> 00:04:54.160 You need to understand what kind of data do you need to model. 83 00:04:54.640 --> 00:04:59.640 So what we try to do now is to make all our data models and what we call our 84 00:04:59.640 --> 00:05:03.760 analytical data model available to our customer base. 85 00:05:04.200 --> 00:05:07.840 So in practical terms, it means that we provide a platform, 86 00:05:08.640 --> 00:05:12.800 the customers ingest the data on the platform, they're still owners of the data, 87 00:05:13.000 --> 00:05:15.120 and it's private, it's secured, 88 00:05:15.840 --> 00:05:20.800 but then we create a digital twin representation of their reality--assets, 89 00:05:20.800 --> 00:05:23.440 for instance. And then we stress test it. 90 00:05:23.600 --> 00:05:25.760 We decide which events we're going to choose: 91 00:05:26.200 --> 00:05:29.640 climate risk or earthquake or a pandemic, 92 00:05:29.960 --> 00:05:32.120 and then we stress test their digital twin. 93 00:05:32.120 --> 00:05:35.680 And that's how we feed back into their organization the risk insights. 94 00:05:36.080 --> 00:05:40.160 And it's not about insurance, it's about resilience, increasing resilience, 95 00:05:40.160 --> 00:05:41.680 about mitigating the risk, 96 00:05:41.680 --> 00:05:45.360 because ultimately the exposure is sitting on the customers, 97 00:05:45.360 --> 00:05:45.760 on the corporate balance sheet. 98 00:05:46.000 --> 00:05:50.560 We just try to help to risk finance it by risk transferring it. But, 99 00:05:50.640 --> 00:05:53.200 so if you want, we forward into, 100 00:05:53.200 --> 00:05:56.120 that's a forward integration into the customer world and using their data 101 00:05:56.480 --> 00:06:00.200 together and mapping it with our data, our risk rich data assets, 102 00:06:00.240 --> 00:06:01.960 in particular on climate change. 103 00:06:02.240 --> 00:06:06.640 And I think it's another interesting model of cooperation that you spoke about. 104 00:06:07.040 --> 00:06:11.400 Coming back to how you started thinking about cooperation and that's a topic 105 00:06:11.400 --> 00:06:14.640 that obviously Davos has been wrestling with over the years. 106 00:06:15.120 --> 00:06:18.040 Any other expectations you have towards this week? 107 00:06:18.600 --> 00:06:20.360 Our chairman, Sergio Ermotti, 108 00:06:20.360 --> 00:06:21.440 he said, you know what, 109 00:06:21.440 --> 00:06:24.240 don't have any expectations because then you're going to enjoy it. 110 00:06:24.440 --> 00:06:26.480 So that's exactly what I'm going to do. 111 00:06:26.840 --> 00:06:29.680 So then I hope you'll enjoy it. Absolutely. Thank you for being with us. 112 00:06:29.680 --> 00:06:30.480 Thank you very much, 113 00:06:30.480 --> 00:06:31.440 Judith.