WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.000 --> 00:00:02.585 - I'm Edie Lush and I'm here with Maurice Berns. 2 00:00:02.585 --> 00:00:06.840 OK, Maurice, so tell me, I want to hear a grade 3 00:00:06.840 --> 00:00:09.676 for the energy transition, A to F. 4 00:00:09.676 --> 00:00:10.719 How are we doing? 5 00:00:10.719 --> 00:00:11.553 - Well, thank you, Edie. 6 00:00:11.553 --> 00:00:12.387 I'm pleased to be here. 7 00:00:12.387 --> 00:00:15.098 Let me try to answer that in two ways, actually. 8 00:00:15.098 --> 00:00:16.391 Let me do it first looking backwards 9 00:00:16.391 --> 00:00:18.101 and say how have we been doing? 10 00:00:18.101 --> 00:00:20.478 And then I'll say a little bit more 11 00:00:20.478 --> 00:00:21.521 about how we are looking forward. 12 00:00:21.521 --> 00:00:23.857 So if we're looking backwards, I'd say 13 00:00:23.857 --> 00:00:25.900 we barely get passing marks, really. 14 00:00:25.900 --> 00:00:26.735 - OK. 15 00:00:26.735 --> 00:00:27.986 - We're in the midst of an energy crisis. 16 00:00:27.986 --> 00:00:31.072 We all know how high prices are right now. 17 00:00:31.072 --> 00:00:34.325 We are on track to be well above three degrees in terms 18 00:00:34.325 --> 00:00:36.786 of global warming if we continue on the current path. 19 00:00:36.786 --> 00:00:38.079 - Worrying. - Very worrying. 20 00:00:38.079 --> 00:00:41.041 - If you look at the factoids right now, by 2030, 21 00:00:41.041 --> 00:00:43.668 if we continue on this path, we'll actually have 22 00:00:43.668 --> 00:00:47.839 11% more emissions when we need to have 43% less emissions. 23 00:00:47.839 --> 00:00:49.424 So all of that looking backwards, 24 00:00:49.424 --> 00:00:51.593 I want to go, "Mm, not very good, not very good." 25 00:00:51.593 --> 00:00:53.053 - [Edie] Not so good. 26 00:00:53.053 --> 00:00:56.014 - If we look forward, though, I'm a lot more optimistic 27 00:00:56.014 --> 00:00:57.432 and I'm a lot more optimistic 28 00:00:57.432 --> 00:00:59.476 because I think we are taking some actions today 29 00:00:59.476 --> 00:01:02.353 and have been the past 12 to 24 months 30 00:01:02.353 --> 00:01:05.690 that make me feel a lot better about where we're going, 31 00:01:05.690 --> 00:01:07.567 and those are actions on the policy front. 32 00:01:07.567 --> 00:01:10.612 I think people are well aware of what's happened in the U.S. 33 00:01:10.612 --> 00:01:13.823 with the IRA and how that has positioned us going forward, 34 00:01:13.823 --> 00:01:16.326 how it's funding a lot of the low-carbon technologies. 35 00:01:16.326 --> 00:01:19.621 I look at the technology side and you see solar and wind 36 00:01:19.621 --> 00:01:21.873 have really come down that cost curve. 37 00:01:21.873 --> 00:01:26.002 And right now, in most places in the world, solar and wind 38 00:01:26.002 --> 00:01:28.463 are not only competitive, but they're less costly 39 00:01:29.881 --> 00:01:32.008 than forms of generation -- other fossil fuel forms of generation. 40 00:01:33.218 --> 00:01:35.929 CCUS is reaching commercial scalability. 41 00:01:35.929 --> 00:01:37.972 Hydrogen has a lot of potential 42 00:01:37.972 --> 00:01:40.475 and everybody's investing behind it. 43 00:01:40.475 --> 00:01:43.895 So as I look forward, I'm a lot more optimistic 44 00:01:43.895 --> 00:01:46.815 and I would give us better marks, but I would say 45 00:01:46.815 --> 00:01:47.649 stay tuned. - OK. 46 00:01:47.649 --> 00:01:49.484 - And if people are marking our homework 47 00:01:49.484 --> 00:01:52.946 in a year, in two years, in five years, in ten years, 48 00:01:52.946 --> 00:01:54.155 got to keep the pressure on. 49 00:01:54.155 --> 00:01:55.657 - All right, keep the hard work up. 50 00:01:55.657 --> 00:01:59.744 OK, you also say that we are at an inflection point, 51 00:01:59.744 --> 00:02:02.664 and it sounds like I can hear why that is, 52 00:02:02.664 --> 00:02:05.792 because the work needs to continue. 53 00:02:05.792 --> 00:02:08.044 Tell me a little bit more about that. 54 00:02:08.044 --> 00:02:08.920 - Yeah, I would say we're at an inflection point 55 00:02:08.920 --> 00:02:10.505 in the energy transition for a few reasons. 56 00:02:10.505 --> 00:02:13.049 First of all, I think many of us are aware 57 00:02:13.049 --> 00:02:14.801 of the energy trilemma, which is how we need to balance 58 00:02:14.801 --> 00:02:18.054 sustainability with reliability with affordability, 59 00:02:18.054 --> 00:02:20.682 and I think in the past couple of decades, 60 00:02:20.682 --> 00:02:23.059 we've spent a lot of time and had the luxury 61 00:02:23.059 --> 00:02:26.563 of focusing a lot on sustainability because we've had 62 00:02:27.605 --> 00:02:31.359 mostly low-cost and mostly reliable energy. 63 00:02:31.359 --> 00:02:35.113 What we saw starting last year at the early part 64 00:02:35.113 --> 00:02:40.118 of the year with the crisis erupting and the war in Ukraine 65 00:02:40.618 --> 00:02:44.205 is that we have not invested as we needed to 66 00:02:44.205 --> 00:02:46.749 in reliability and in affordability. 67 00:02:46.749 --> 00:02:47.667 And why does that matter? 68 00:02:47.667 --> 00:02:50.837 It matters because we've seen what's happening now 69 00:02:50.837 --> 00:02:53.256 with the price spikes, with inflation, 70 00:02:53.256 --> 00:02:57.135 with a drag on growth, and if that happens, 71 00:02:57.135 --> 00:02:59.262 it slows down the energy transition. 72 00:02:59.262 --> 00:03:01.973 So we haven't built the resiliency 73 00:03:01.973 --> 00:03:04.559 into the system that we need in order to ensure 74 00:03:04.559 --> 00:03:05.977 a smooth energy transition. 75 00:03:05.977 --> 00:03:10.481 So I'm optimistic and I think that the inflection point 76 00:03:10.481 --> 00:03:13.735 comes because policy makers are taking note 77 00:03:13.735 --> 00:03:15.612 and they're creating more sensible policy, 78 00:03:15.612 --> 00:03:18.364 because technology is getting the investment it needs, 79 00:03:18.364 --> 00:03:20.867 and because people, the world has seen what happens 80 00:03:20.867 --> 00:03:23.119 if we don't truly balance the three parts 81 00:03:23.119 --> 00:03:25.413 of the trilemma adequately. 82 00:03:25.413 --> 00:03:28.708 - So what needs to happen now? 83 00:03:28.708 --> 00:03:30.710 - OK, well, I'll give you the roadmap. 84 00:03:30.710 --> 00:03:31.544 (laughing) - I'm going to 85 00:03:31.544 --> 00:03:33.046 keep it simple, actually. 86 00:03:33.046 --> 00:03:34.756 I think you could do... 87 00:03:34.756 --> 00:03:35.590 There's four things that need to happen. 88 00:03:35.590 --> 00:03:37.926 I'll talk about that and then I'll talk a little bit 89 00:03:37.926 --> 00:03:39.427 about the policy that's underpinned it. 90 00:03:39.427 --> 00:03:41.846 The first thing is energy efficiency. 91 00:03:42.764 --> 00:03:44.682 - It seems easy. 92 00:03:44.682 --> 00:03:46.976 Is it? - It requires changes 93 00:03:46.976 --> 00:03:51.356 in behavior and it requires sensible policy incentives 94 00:03:51.356 --> 00:03:52.607 to get there. 95 00:03:52.607 --> 00:03:54.525 So changes in behavior, I mean, let me just give you 96 00:03:54.525 --> 00:03:56.861 some numbers to bring it to life. 97 00:03:56.861 --> 00:04:01.741 More than 40% of energy produced is what we call rejected, 98 00:04:01.741 --> 00:04:03.743 which means it's not even used. 99 00:04:03.743 --> 00:04:04.577 It's wasted, right? 100 00:04:04.577 --> 00:04:07.372 Other things can be done through simple regulations. 101 00:04:07.372 --> 00:04:11.000 If you look at the U.S., 1.3% of the energy 102 00:04:11.000 --> 00:04:12.752 goes towards lighting. 103 00:04:12.752 --> 00:04:16.881 If we just changed all that lighting over to LED lighting, 104 00:04:16.881 --> 00:04:18.591 we could reduce the demand by 50%. 105 00:04:19.008 --> 00:04:22.303 So that's the first thing, focusing on energy efficiency. 106 00:04:22.303 --> 00:04:25.765 Secondly, electrify as much as you can, right? 107 00:04:25.765 --> 00:04:28.434 We are on the path there towards EVs. 108 00:04:28.434 --> 00:04:29.269 A lot of good progress. 109 00:04:29.269 --> 00:04:32.438 Need to continue electrifying heat is another one. 110 00:04:32.438 --> 00:04:33.648 So electrify everything you can. 111 00:04:33.648 --> 00:04:36.276 And then in parallel, you need to decarbonize 112 00:04:36.276 --> 00:04:38.069 our electricity generation. 113 00:04:38.069 --> 00:04:40.196 So that's back to what I was saying earlier, 114 00:04:40.196 --> 00:04:41.030 solar, wind to start with. 115 00:04:41.030 --> 00:04:43.408 - Hydrogen. - Well, hydrogen, 116 00:04:43.408 --> 00:04:45.368 and that's my fourth point, which is- 117 00:04:45.368 --> 00:04:46.828 - [Edie] All right, sorry, just trying 118 00:04:46.828 --> 00:04:48.162 to scoop you along there. 119 00:04:48.162 --> 00:04:49.872 - -everything you can electrify, 120 00:04:49.872 --> 00:04:52.917 then you need to put in place hydrogen, CCUS, 121 00:04:52.917 --> 00:04:55.086 and eventually direct-air capture. 122 00:04:55.086 --> 00:04:57.672 So those four things are what you need. 123 00:04:57.672 --> 00:04:59.382 And what you need to make all of that work 124 00:04:59.382 --> 00:05:00.842 is sensible policy. 125 00:05:01.050 --> 00:05:02.135 - Maurice, thank you very much 126 00:05:02.135 --> 00:05:05.263 for stopping by the studio here in Davos 2023. 127 00:05:05.263 --> 00:05:06.389 - Thanks for having me.