WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.040 --> 00:00:04.240 I'm Manveen Rana here at Davos 2024, and I'm joined by Vlad 2 00:00:04.240 --> 00:00:08.560 Lukic, who is the Global Lead on Tech and Digital Advantage. 3 00:00:08.560 --> 00:00:09.480 Vlad, welcome. 4 00:00:10.160 --> 00:00:11.720 Thanks for joining us. 5 00:00:12.720 --> 00:00:15.120 Everybody here is talking about AI this year. 6 00:00:16.280 --> 00:00:18.680 As you know, we have for many years, but this year in 7 00:00:18.680 --> 00:00:21.360 particular, it feels like everything is changing. For you, 8 00:00:21.680 --> 00:00:24.880 how much are you seeing companies and leaders taking on 9 00:00:24.880 --> 00:00:25.600 that change? 10 00:00:25.600 --> 00:00:28.840 And for you, are there surprises about how well or how badly 11 00:00:28.840 --> 00:00:29.600 they're doing? 12 00:00:30.240 --> 00:00:31.280 Yeah, it's hard to like, 13 00:00:31.400 --> 00:00:32.680 it's too soon to judge, right. 14 00:00:32.680 --> 00:00:35.880 I like to say that we are really in the early stages of AI. 15 00:00:35.880 --> 00:00:36.760 It's been developed. 16 00:00:36.760 --> 00:00:38.800 It has been developed for the last 50 plus years. 17 00:00:38.800 --> 00:00:39.840 So it's continuation. 18 00:00:39.840 --> 00:00:42.640 But now we're entering the exponential phase of deploying 19 00:00:42.640 --> 00:00:44.480 it right, and deploying it at scale. 20 00:00:44.760 --> 00:00:46.000 Last year we talked about GenAI 21 00:00:46.000 --> 00:00:49.360 and there was a magic moment of like, whoa, is this real? 22 00:00:49.360 --> 00:00:52.560 Can it really be doing the things that it seems to be 23 00:00:52.560 --> 00:00:52.920 doing? 24 00:00:53.120 --> 00:00:54.760 What about hallucinations, etc. 25 00:00:55.040 --> 00:00:58.160 This year it has shifted and a lot of companies have tested it. 26 00:00:58.160 --> 00:01:01.120 They said, OK, it actually works when deployed in the right way, 27 00:01:01.120 --> 00:01:04.080 but how do I scale this up, how do I take it to the everyone in 28 00:01:04.080 --> 00:01:05.160 the organization, etc. 29 00:01:05.160 --> 00:01:09.560 As a result, it is in the budgets for '24 for 90% plus 30 00:01:09.560 --> 00:01:10.400 companies. 31 00:01:10.400 --> 00:01:11.520 So it's happening. 32 00:01:12.160 --> 00:01:14.800 Now, only 10% of them or so are actually deploying it 33 00:01:14.800 --> 00:01:15.400 efficiently. 34 00:01:15.400 --> 00:01:18.080 So they're trying to figure out how do I scale this up, how do I 35 00:01:18.080 --> 00:01:20.560 get enough employees to learn how to use it, how to put the 36 00:01:20.560 --> 00:01:21.880 right guardrails in place, etc. 37 00:01:21.880 --> 00:01:24.640 So it's just a different flavor of the conversation as it's 38 00:01:24.640 --> 00:01:25.200 progressing. 39 00:01:25.440 --> 00:01:28.560 And are you seeing the leaders who are having to have those 40 00:01:28.560 --> 00:01:30.960 conversations, having to work out what to do? 41 00:01:31.320 --> 00:01:32.720 Are they making common mistakes? 42 00:01:32.720 --> 00:01:33.680 Are they getting this right? 43 00:01:34.560 --> 00:01:35.560 I'm sure yes. 44 00:01:35.560 --> 00:01:38.040 There's both common mistakes, but also things that they're 45 00:01:38.040 --> 00:01:38.800 doing well, right? 46 00:01:38.800 --> 00:01:41.800 And the key thing for me is that the ones that are doing it right 47 00:01:41.800 --> 00:01:43.440 are genuinely geeking out about it. 48 00:01:43.440 --> 00:01:45.120 They're figuring out what it is. 49 00:01:45.120 --> 00:01:48.680 They're spending time to get their hands dirty, to learn what 50 00:01:48.680 --> 00:01:49.440 it is, right? 51 00:01:49.480 --> 00:01:49.720 Yeah. 52 00:01:50.080 --> 00:01:51.480 And to stay close to it, right. 53 00:01:51.480 --> 00:01:54.920 The ones that are not doing well are the ones who outsource it, 54 00:01:54.920 --> 00:01:58.120 who say three layers in the organization, you go figure out 55 00:01:58.120 --> 00:02:00.960 this AI thing, or they think about it as a project. 56 00:02:00.960 --> 00:02:03.600 So we'll just do it for six months, then we're done, right? 57 00:02:03.600 --> 00:02:07.280 So it needs focus, it needs the dedication, and it needs folks 58 00:02:07.280 --> 00:02:09.360 to stay close to it to try things. 59 00:02:09.640 --> 00:02:12.280 And then the last thing, the ones that do it well, they don't 60 00:02:12.280 --> 00:02:14.280 think about deploying it in a little segment. 61 00:02:14.280 --> 00:02:17.800 They're thinking of rethinking the whole workflow end-to-end, 62 00:02:17.800 --> 00:02:18.160 right. 63 00:02:18.160 --> 00:02:21.440 And the ones that think about just how do I, we have a number 64 00:02:21.440 --> 00:02:24.600 of examples where you deploy some of the AI, it extracts a 65 00:02:24.600 --> 00:02:27.440 lot of efficiencies in a specific workflow, but that 66 00:02:27.440 --> 00:02:29.000 workflow is not a bottleneck. 67 00:02:29.000 --> 00:02:30.680 It's not a bottleneck for the full process. 68 00:02:30.680 --> 00:02:33.000 So therefore there is no value in doing it. 69 00:02:33.440 --> 00:02:36.840 So Vlad, you described how we're now hitting that moment of 70 00:02:36.840 --> 00:02:39.600 exponential change where everything is changing 71 00:02:39.600 --> 00:02:40.720 incredibly quickly. 72 00:02:41.480 --> 00:02:44.480 Are there aspects that you see coming that you think people 73 00:02:44.480 --> 00:02:46.200 aren't really focusing enough on? 74 00:02:46.960 --> 00:02:49.960 There is...yes and no. 75 00:02:50.880 --> 00:02:52.360 No because a lot of it is transparent. 76 00:02:52.360 --> 00:02:54.000 We're seeing what's coming out, right. 77 00:02:54.280 --> 00:02:57.360 But I do think there are a few interesting aspects on the pure 78 00:02:57.360 --> 00:02:58.120 technical side. 79 00:02:58.360 --> 00:03:01.280 One is that a lot of software companies are going to be 80 00:03:01.280 --> 00:03:03.400 seamlessly embedding a lot of the GenAI 81 00:03:03.400 --> 00:03:07.040 and more broadly, AI features into their offerings. 82 00:03:07.040 --> 00:03:10.000 So, a lot of the things that we are even building with our 83 00:03:10.000 --> 00:03:13.160 clients, I think six to eight months will be obsolete because 84 00:03:13.160 --> 00:03:16.080 it will be part of, it will be a feature somewhere else. 85 00:03:16.280 --> 00:03:19.880 So managing expectations around that, and getting ready for 86 00:03:19.880 --> 00:03:23.440 that, and focusing more on deploying is going to be one of 87 00:03:23.440 --> 00:03:26.240 the new capabilities companies need to build. 88 00:03:26.240 --> 00:03:28.360 Some of them will be disappointed because they will 89 00:03:28.360 --> 00:03:30.840 say, oh, I just spent all this money building it, that is OK 90 00:03:30.840 --> 00:03:33.400 because you build the muscle of what does it take to test it, 91 00:03:33.400 --> 00:03:34.680 what does it take to deploy it? 92 00:03:34.680 --> 00:03:37.640 Well, how do you change the workflows around it, so it's not 93 00:03:37.640 --> 00:03:38.320 wasted, right. 94 00:03:38.320 --> 00:03:39.000 So it's useful. 95 00:03:39.000 --> 00:03:41.360 It's the muscle that is being built so that you learn how to 96 00:03:41.360 --> 00:03:41.760 deploy it. 97 00:03:42.320 --> 00:03:44.200 So that's kind of one thing that is going to be a surprise. 98 00:03:44.200 --> 00:03:47.120 The second one is that the companies that will unlock the 99 00:03:47.120 --> 00:03:50.360 value will be the ones that are rethinking workflows end-to-end 100 00:03:50.360 --> 00:03:51.280 and reshaping them. 101 00:03:51.560 --> 00:03:54.760 But then be surgical about where do they put some of the AI 102 00:03:54.760 --> 00:03:55.800 features within it. 103 00:03:56.000 --> 00:03:58.880 Some of it they will develop, some of it will be what they 104 00:03:58.880 --> 00:04:01.720 buy, but it will be around the reengineering of the whole 105 00:04:01.720 --> 00:04:02.160 workflow. 106 00:04:02.160 --> 00:04:05.360 So those are not necessarily purely technical insights, but 107 00:04:05.360 --> 00:04:08.760 those are the things that are usually blind spots for a lot of 108 00:04:08.760 --> 00:04:09.360 my clients. 109 00:04:09.440 --> 00:04:09.840 Yeah. 110 00:04:10.160 --> 00:04:12.400 And you talked earlier about the ones who are getting it right, 111 00:04:12.400 --> 00:04:14.640 the ones who are doing it well by being quite geeky and getting 112 00:04:14.640 --> 00:04:15.120 very involved. 113 00:04:15.200 --> 00:04:17.280 Just give us a sense of what that looks like. 114 00:04:17.280 --> 00:04:19.080 Give us an example of where that works really well. 115 00:04:19.520 --> 00:04:23.160 The Executive Team knows enough about the technology so that the 116 00:04:23.160 --> 00:04:26.520 conversation they're having, you and I, if you were on that 117 00:04:26.520 --> 00:04:29.960 Executive Team, we're talking about where is the friction in 118 00:04:29.960 --> 00:04:32.840 the process, where is the friction in the customer 119 00:04:32.840 --> 00:04:33.480 experience? 120 00:04:33.800 --> 00:04:34.200 Great. 121 00:04:34.200 --> 00:04:35.200 So this is the bottom line. 122 00:04:35.200 --> 00:04:38.280 How do we now, given that, let's think now how do we deploy the 123 00:04:38.280 --> 00:04:41.360 technology. When it's not, when they're not geeking out on it, 124 00:04:41.360 --> 00:04:42.720 when they don't know enough, 125 00:04:42.960 --> 00:04:46.280 the conversations are very much of the likes of, is this real, 126 00:04:46.280 --> 00:04:48.640 are you sure, how much is it going to cost? 127 00:04:48.640 --> 00:04:50.160 Should we buy, should we build it? 128 00:04:50.440 --> 00:04:53.080 And so they don't spend any time thinking about really where the 129 00:04:53.080 --> 00:04:55.360 value creation will happen or where the frictions are. 130 00:04:55.360 --> 00:04:59.760 So that's a simple aggregated difference between those that 131 00:04:59.760 --> 00:05:04.160 are leaning in versus not, and then the ones to take it one 132 00:05:04.160 --> 00:05:08.480 click further, the ones that engage into the deployment of 133 00:05:08.480 --> 00:05:09.880 this, they test it. 134 00:05:09.880 --> 00:05:12.800 They're the ones that in the Executive Team, they want to not 135 00:05:12.800 --> 00:05:15.920 just see the demo, but they want to actually see what will their 136 00:05:15.920 --> 00:05:16.560 Sales Rep see 137 00:05:16.560 --> 00:05:19.720 if they're using this tool, they will have a point of view how to 138 00:05:19.720 --> 00:05:20.200 refine it. 139 00:05:20.200 --> 00:05:23.160 So they're getting involved into the development of some of these 140 00:05:23.160 --> 00:05:24.960 tools and having a point of view on it. 141 00:05:24.960 --> 00:05:27.160 And I suppose as they do that, they see more opportunities. 142 00:05:27.160 --> 00:05:29.440 Then they say great, where are you getting the data for this 143 00:05:29.440 --> 00:05:29.840 from that? 144 00:05:29.840 --> 00:05:31.240 Are you guys sure that's accurate data? 145 00:05:31.240 --> 00:05:35.000 Did we clear all the privacy policies, etc. So they can 146 00:05:35.000 --> 00:05:39.280 actually start steering you as a developer towards answering a 147 00:05:39.280 --> 00:05:43.000 lot of the critical questions around the design of the 148 00:05:43.000 --> 00:05:43.920 solution etc. 149 00:05:44.600 --> 00:05:46.720 But as you say, a lot of companies aren't leaning in, 150 00:05:46.720 --> 00:05:49.240 they're sort of hoping somebody will tell them about the change 151 00:05:49.240 --> 00:05:49.800 that's coming. 152 00:05:49.920 --> 00:05:50.400 Correct. 153 00:05:50.440 --> 00:05:55.120 Are there some industries really that you think don't see how 154 00:05:55.120 --> 00:05:58.760 they're entirely about to change at the moment. 155 00:05:58.760 --> 00:06:01.160 They haven't sort of seen, they haven't started to adapt. 156 00:06:01.200 --> 00:06:04.720 Yeah, so fascinating insight for me over the last 12 months was 157 00:06:04.720 --> 00:06:08.280 that there is no one sector, one industry that is ahead than the 158 00:06:08.280 --> 00:06:08.680 others. 159 00:06:08.680 --> 00:06:11.680 What I'm finding is that in every single one of them you 160 00:06:11.680 --> 00:06:15.080 have few folks that are so far ahead, like leaning in and truly 161 00:06:15.080 --> 00:06:18.480 both disrupting themselves but figuring out how to deploy this, 162 00:06:18.480 --> 00:06:20.880 and then some that are just observing, right. 163 00:06:21.160 --> 00:06:22.560 And so it was lesser on that 164 00:06:22.640 --> 00:06:25.160 it's clustered in few industries, it's across the 165 00:06:25.160 --> 00:06:25.480 board. 166 00:06:25.480 --> 00:06:28.840 So just last week I had back-to-back meetings, one with 167 00:06:28.840 --> 00:06:32.560 an agricultural manufacturer of seeds, the other one was with 168 00:06:32.560 --> 00:06:33.960 agricultural equipment. 169 00:06:33.960 --> 00:06:37.320 Then it was a telecom company, then it was an insurance 170 00:06:37.320 --> 00:06:40.920 company, then it was a bank, then it was a manufacturer of 171 00:06:40.920 --> 00:06:44.000 like building materials. Back-to-back-to-back with 172 00:06:44.000 --> 00:06:46.680 companies that are doing really cool stuff. 173 00:06:46.680 --> 00:06:49.800 So it's not just one sector, it's actually proliferated 174 00:06:49.800 --> 00:06:52.120 across, which is very interesting to me. 175 00:06:52.360 --> 00:06:54.520 Well, that's a vision of the future that's coming. 176 00:06:55.000 --> 00:06:55.560 It's coming our way. 177 00:06:55.560 --> 00:06:56.680 It's coming fast. 178 00:06:56.960 --> 00:06:58.600 Thanks very much for joining us, Vlad. 179 00:06:58.600 --> 00:07:01.960 That's Vlad Lukic, who is the Global Leader of Tech and 180 00:07:01.960 --> 00:07:03.080 Digital Advantage. 181 00:07:03.400 --> 00:07:04.400 And I'm Manveen Rana.