WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.125 --> 00:00:04.004 I'm Manveen Rana here in Davos and I'm joined by Maurice from 2 00:00:04.004 --> 00:00:04.254 BCG. 3 00:00:04.796 --> 00:00:08.299 How are the conversations here at Davos around climate? 4 00:00:08.299 --> 00:00:10.135 I know that's one of the biggest themes here this year. 5 00:00:10.385 --> 00:00:11.219 How are they going? 6 00:00:11.428 --> 00:00:14.305 Yeah, well, I've been spending most of my time on the energy 7 00:00:14.305 --> 00:00:16.808 and the climate perspective, which is my main area of 8 00:00:16.808 --> 00:00:17.684 interest and focus. 9 00:00:18.018 --> 00:00:21.938 And what I've been looking for is the linkages between COP28 10 00:00:21.938 --> 00:00:25.984 and Davos, and COP28 was about some big top-level pledges that 11 00:00:25.984 --> 00:00:26.651 were made. 12 00:00:27.068 --> 00:00:29.738 And so for me, Davos was about OK, taking those forward and how 13 00:00:29.738 --> 00:00:30.655 do you make them real. 14 00:00:31.072 --> 00:00:32.115 And there's three I call out. 15 00:00:32.115 --> 00:00:36.244 One is around reducing methane emissions, another one was 16 00:00:36.244 --> 00:00:39.497 around renewables and the pace of deployment. 17 00:00:39.497 --> 00:00:42.250 We want to accelerate that by a factor of three. 18 00:00:43.376 --> 00:00:46.337 And then the other piece was around energy efficiency. 19 00:00:46.796 --> 00:00:49.340 And I think I've seen some really good progress on the 20 00:00:49.340 --> 00:00:49.799 first two. 21 00:00:49.841 --> 00:00:52.510 There's a pretty strong consensus that we have all the 22 00:00:52.510 --> 00:00:55.680 technology and all the business cases we need to get the methane 23 00:00:55.680 --> 00:00:58.808 out, and the companies have made the pledges around doing that. 24 00:00:58.808 --> 00:01:00.185 Around the renewables piece, 25 00:01:00.185 --> 00:01:02.896 it's ambitious but I think we can do it as well, and we've 26 00:01:02.896 --> 00:01:04.773 seen some really good progress already. 27 00:01:05.815 --> 00:01:07.567 Just take a look at China where they are right now. 28 00:01:08.777 --> 00:01:09.944 The US is making good progress. 29 00:01:09.944 --> 00:01:13.323 Europe is making good progress and we can do more. On energy 30 00:01:13.323 --> 00:01:14.449 efficiency, that one 31 00:01:14.449 --> 00:01:16.618 I think there's a lot more ambiguity around of what it 32 00:01:16.618 --> 00:01:17.118 really means. 33 00:01:17.118 --> 00:01:20.663 And when we break it down and we look at industry, and we look at 34 00:01:20.663 --> 00:01:23.833 transport, and we look at buildings, the answer on each of 35 00:01:23.833 --> 00:01:27.003 them is quite nuanced, and I think that's where we need to 36 00:01:27.003 --> 00:01:30.340 continue to spend more time and develop thinking around that. 37 00:01:30.757 --> 00:01:33.218 So discussions taking place around energy efficiency. 38 00:01:33.676 --> 00:01:37.347 The other themes here at Davos this year are AI and geopolitics 39 00:01:37.347 --> 00:01:40.183 because it's such an unstable time in the world. 40 00:01:40.683 --> 00:01:44.104 How do those, how do they merge with the idea of climate, what 41 00:01:44.104 --> 00:01:44.938 are you seeing? 42 00:01:45.188 --> 00:01:47.732 So I've actually seen some convergence there, right. 43 00:01:48.108 --> 00:01:51.736 So if you take AI and climate together, the potential, 44 00:01:51.736 --> 00:01:55.740 everybody's talking potential for AI in many areas, but the 45 00:01:55.740 --> 00:02:00.078 potential to actually help us as we go through energy transition 46 00:02:00.078 --> 00:02:00.995 is quite high. 47 00:02:01.204 --> 00:02:03.915 There's there's a lot of operational improvements, 48 00:02:03.915 --> 00:02:06.918 there's a lot of things around network optimization with 49 00:02:06.918 --> 00:02:08.086 customer interactions. 50 00:02:08.128 --> 00:02:09.796 Some of those use cases are already known. 51 00:02:10.130 --> 00:02:12.966 But I think where the interesting ones that I've heard 52 00:02:12.966 --> 00:02:15.885 about here are additional opportunities to speed up some 53 00:02:15.885 --> 00:02:17.220 of the newer technologies. 54 00:02:17.428 --> 00:02:19.472 I'll give you an example in direct air capture. 55 00:02:19.472 --> 00:02:22.058 We know that the biggest challenge for direct air capture 56 00:02:22.058 --> 00:02:24.561 is to get the cost down to something we can afford as a 57 00:02:24.561 --> 00:02:25.603 society and as industry. 58 00:02:26.521 --> 00:02:29.524 I've heard some really encouraging progress around 59 00:02:29.524 --> 00:02:33.069 bringing those costs down even through, I would say, initial 60 00:02:33.069 --> 00:02:36.197 looks using AI of how we can optimize the production 61 00:02:36.197 --> 00:02:39.993 processes, how we can optimize a lot of the backend things going 62 00:02:39.993 --> 00:02:40.160 on. 63 00:02:40.493 --> 00:02:43.413 So those two I see coming together in quite a positive and 64 00:02:43.413 --> 00:02:44.122 synergetic way. 65 00:02:44.789 --> 00:02:48.084 If you think about climate and geopolitics, I've heard some 66 00:02:48.084 --> 00:02:51.296 kind of new and interesting ideas as well that I think we 67 00:02:51.296 --> 00:02:52.964 need to to explore a bit more. 68 00:02:52.964 --> 00:02:56.259 So bringing it back to how have we used energy, and energy 69 00:02:56.259 --> 00:02:59.804 policy in the past, there was this concept of energy diplomacy 70 00:02:59.804 --> 00:03:03.433 which allowed countries to find common ground and things to work 71 00:03:03.433 --> 00:03:06.519 around even when their geopolitics weren't necessarily 72 00:03:06.519 --> 00:03:06.978 in line. 73 00:03:07.437 --> 00:03:11.149 And I think the thinking right now is because we're in a bit of 74 00:03:11.149 --> 00:03:14.402 a geopolitically fractious world, can we have something 75 00:03:14.402 --> 00:03:14.861 similar? 76 00:03:14.861 --> 00:03:18.740 So almost climate diplomacy and where can we find common ground 77 00:03:18.740 --> 00:03:22.202 around standards, around technologies, around learnings, 78 00:03:22.202 --> 00:03:25.872 and sharing that all countries interested in, regardless of 79 00:03:25.872 --> 00:03:29.000 what geopolitical beliefs ordispositions they have. 80 00:03:29.000 --> 00:03:32.795 Climate becomes the thing they rally around. And potentially 81 00:03:32.795 --> 00:03:35.590 even helps them build bridges in other areas, 82 00:03:35.673 --> 00:03:37.342 but let's start there for now. 83 00:03:38.009 --> 00:03:40.678 And in terms of climate, I mean how is it playing out 84 00:03:40.678 --> 00:03:42.889 particularly in Europe what needs to happen? 85 00:03:43.139 --> 00:03:45.475 Well, I mean Europe is an area of the world where I think it's 86 00:03:45.475 --> 00:03:46.976 doing a lot of the right things already. 87 00:03:46.976 --> 00:03:49.896 They've got a policy structure in place, they've set goals 88 00:03:49.896 --> 00:03:51.022 they're trying to meet. 89 00:03:51.189 --> 00:03:55.235 So I see this as it comes to Europe as an accelerator, right. 90 00:03:55.235 --> 00:03:59.197 For example, in the North Sea where we're looking to deploy 91 00:03:59.197 --> 00:04:03.159 300 gigawatts by 2050, 150 gigawatts by 2030, those are big 92 00:04:03.159 --> 00:04:03.534 goals. 93 00:04:03.743 --> 00:04:08.248 Well, actually the COP28 commitments aligned behind that 94 00:04:08.248 --> 00:04:10.250 very nicely, for example. 95 00:04:10.250 --> 00:04:14.087 So I see it, if anything, as a reaffirmation of what Europe 96 00:04:14.087 --> 00:04:17.966 needs to do as a kind of an affirmation that they're on the 97 00:04:17.966 --> 00:04:21.344 right path with some acceleration needed, of course, 98 00:04:21.344 --> 00:04:25.139 and a rallying cry, in a sense, to get industry behind it. 99 00:04:25.390 --> 00:04:27.392 Well, that sounds surprisingly hopeful. 100 00:04:27.892 --> 00:04:29.060 A discussion about climate. 101 00:04:29.394 --> 00:04:30.812 Well, I think that's what we've seen. 102 00:04:30.812 --> 00:04:34.065 I mean, look, I'd almost describe the atmosphere as one 103 00:04:34.065 --> 00:04:37.443 of stoic optimism, right, where people understand there's 104 00:04:37.443 --> 00:04:38.987 microeconomic challenges, 105 00:04:39.153 --> 00:04:41.739 they understand that not all the technologies are at a commercial 106 00:04:41.739 --> 00:04:44.242 scale to get us to where we need to go, and they understand not 107 00:04:44.242 --> 00:04:45.368 all the business cases exist. 108 00:04:45.702 --> 00:04:48.454 But look, I mean every 10th of a degree matters, right? 109 00:04:48.454 --> 00:04:51.749 So we may not achieve every target we need to, but the 110 00:04:51.749 --> 00:04:54.544 progress is what we need to keep celebrating. 111 00:04:55.044 --> 00:04:57.046 Well, thanks for bringing us that bit of optimism. 112 00:04:57.046 --> 00:04:58.923 Maurice, it's been a pleasure to speak to you. 113 00:04:59.048 --> 00:04:59.507 Thanks, Manveen. 114 00:04:59.674 --> 00:05:00.383 Good speaking to you as well.