WEBVTT 00:00:00.200 --> 00:00:04.640 I'm Manveen Rana here at Davos, and I'm joined by Tawfik from BCG. 00:00:04.640 --> 00:00:05.200 Welcome. 00:00:05.400 --> 00:00:05.920 Nice to see you. 00:00:06.120 --> 00:00:07.800 Have you had a good Davos so far? 00:00:07.920 --> 00:00:08.840 Yeah, it's been great. 00:00:08.920 --> 00:00:12.520 I mean, it's, you know, there's always a very intense few days 00:00:12.520 --> 00:00:14.680 and it's been incredibly productive. 00:00:15.160 --> 00:00:17.600 You know, you always meet interesting people with 00:00:17.600 --> 00:00:18.520 interesting ideas. 00:00:18.520 --> 00:00:21.440 And I think this year was no different. In particular, in my 00:00:21.440 --> 00:00:24.320 world of the private capital world and investors, there's a 00:00:24.320 --> 00:00:27.320 lot of things happening after a decade of low interest rates. 00:00:27.320 --> 00:00:34.040 And you know the theme is really around how do we make money going forward as investors? 00:00:34.040 --> 00:00:35.600 What are you hearing from people? 00:00:36.000 --> 00:00:37.240 We heard quite a few things. 00:00:37.240 --> 00:00:39.360 I mean, you know, let me maybe decompose it. 00:00:39.360 --> 00:00:41.440 One is around the consolidation of the industry. 00:00:42.120 --> 00:00:44.760 Many of the, you know the players have decided that they 00:00:44.760 --> 00:00:47.520 need more scale, they need a bigger balance sheet, and 00:00:47.520 --> 00:00:51.320 therefore you see quite a few mergers or acquisitions. You saw 00:00:51.320 --> 00:00:52.920 recently BlackRock buying GIP. 00:00:53.600 --> 00:00:55.320 You also see a theme of going public. 00:00:55.320 --> 00:00:58.960 Many of the alternative asset managers in particular, for the 00:00:58.960 --> 00:01:02.720 same reasons that we just discussed, have decided to go public 00:01:02.720 --> 00:01:05.840 You know it's well known that CVC has an IPO coming, rumors 00:01:05.840 --> 00:01:09.200 that General Atlantic has filed in the U.S., and so we'll see a 00:01:09.200 --> 00:01:11.760 lot more public companies on the investor side. 00:01:11.760 --> 00:01:14.680 So these are more the general partners, the GPs on the 00:01:14.680 --> 00:01:15.840 providers of capital. 00:01:16.280 --> 00:01:19.160 We see really the emergence of very large pools of capital, in 00:01:19.160 --> 00:01:22.080 particular in the Middle East, where capital formation has been 00:01:22.080 --> 00:01:24.720 incredible in the last decade, and they're very important 00:01:24.720 --> 00:01:27.160 players of the financial ecosystem, now investing in 00:01:27.160 --> 00:01:30.560 infrastructure and private equity, in growth and venture, 00:01:30.560 --> 00:01:32.640 and you know they provide a lot of the capital that fuels the 00:01:32.640 --> 00:01:33.840 world's economy right now. 00:01:35.000 --> 00:01:39.040 We are starting this Davos at a time of huge instability though. 00:01:39.040 --> 00:01:41.960 So I mean what are your predictions for investment trends 00:01:41.960 --> 00:01:44.080 over the rest of 2024? Right, 00:01:44.360 --> 00:01:47.480 well you know it's always hard to make predictions and you 00:01:47.480 --> 00:01:49.520 often, you know turn out to be wrong. 00:01:49.520 --> 00:01:53.800 So maybe more, I leave with an optimistic feeling that I think 00:01:53.800 --> 00:01:56.360 the world's economy has proven incredibly resilient. 00:01:57.040 --> 00:01:59.640 I mean, just in the last couple of years, you know, we had a war 00:01:59.640 --> 00:02:01.120 in Europe, we had a global pandemic. 00:02:01.120 --> 00:02:03.680 We have a war in the Middle East, we have geopolitical 00:02:03.680 --> 00:02:04.800 tensions in North Asia. 00:02:05.360 --> 00:02:07.800 And yet, the world's economy continues to hum along. 00:02:07.800 --> 00:02:11.720 And I think there's a lot of capital in the world and that 00:02:11.720 --> 00:02:13.600 capital is going to get deployed. 00:02:14.000 --> 00:02:16.360 It's quite a bit tougher than it was, say, five years ago to 00:02:16.360 --> 00:02:18.280 generate the returns that people are expecting. 00:02:18.760 --> 00:02:22.120 But I really remain quite optimistic. The promise of AI, 00:02:22.120 --> 00:02:25.560 you've seen that AI is all over Davos this week. 00:02:26.120 --> 00:02:28.960 I think that's a massive technology revolution that's 00:02:28.960 --> 00:02:31.920 going to, you know, impact the 100 billion, sorry, $100 00:02:31.920 --> 00:02:33.960 trillion or so of the world's economy. 00:02:34.400 --> 00:02:37.400 And so there's a lot more opportunities than challenges in my view. 00:02:38.360 --> 00:02:40.400 And are you hearing that sort of optimism from the people? 00:02:40.400 --> 00:02:41.000 Yeah, 00:02:41.280 --> 00:02:44.360 Davos tends to be a little bit more of a pessimistic crowd in a 00:02:44.360 --> 00:02:47.280 way of like the world is broken and, you know, this is what 00:02:47.280 --> 00:02:48.320 needs to get done. 00:02:48.320 --> 00:02:51.040 And I find that this week was actually much more on the 00:02:51.040 --> 00:02:53.880 optimistic side where people want to rebuild trust, people 00:02:53.880 --> 00:02:57.920 want to find solutions to climate and sustainability, to 00:02:57.920 --> 00:02:59.400 technology, to inequality. 00:03:00.240 --> 00:03:02.320 And so it was a very optimistic week. 00:03:02.400 --> 00:03:03.520 That really is an unusual Davos. 00:03:03.560 --> 00:03:08.360 Yeah, maybe we're getting better at looking at the bright side of things. 00:03:08.680 --> 00:03:09.360 Let's hope so. 00:03:09.560 --> 00:03:11.800 Well Tawfik, thanks very much for joining us to to tell us 00:03:11.800 --> 00:03:12.880 what's been happening here. 00:03:12.880 --> 00:03:13.440 Pleasure seeing you.