WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.340 --> 00:00:04.230 While global trade in 2020 did not decrease 2 00:00:04.230 --> 00:00:06.400 as much as many people had predicted 3 00:00:06.400 --> 00:00:08.130 at the beginning of the pandemic, 4 00:00:08.130 --> 00:00:11.330 structural shifts remain. 5 00:00:11.330 --> 00:00:13.950 Structural shifts that have been driven 6 00:00:13.950 --> 00:00:18.200 by geopolitical frictions and supply chain disruptions 7 00:00:18.200 --> 00:00:19.423 due to COVID-19. 8 00:00:20.910 --> 00:00:24.420 Looking forward, we are positive about global trade. 9 00:00:24.420 --> 00:00:26.540 We believe that global trade will increase 10 00:00:26.540 --> 00:00:29.303 by 3% per annum until 2030. 11 00:00:30.200 --> 00:00:33.210 But we also see fundamental regional shifts 12 00:00:33.210 --> 00:00:34.323 in trading routes, 13 00:00:34.323 --> 00:00:37.638 decreasing trading routes in the Northern Hemisphere, 14 00:00:37.638 --> 00:00:39.363 while increasing trading routes 15 00:00:39.363 --> 00:00:43.443 with South America, Africa, and Asia. 16 00:00:44.400 --> 00:00:47.360 These structural shifts are a core element 17 00:00:47.360 --> 00:00:49.433 of the future global trade landscape. 18 00:00:50.300 --> 00:00:55.300 But we also see changes when it comes to core products, 19 00:00:55.890 --> 00:00:59.790 be it in the health care area or in the high-tech area, 20 00:00:59.790 --> 00:01:02.620 where supply chain disruptions have taken place 21 00:01:02.620 --> 00:01:04.423 in the last months. 22 00:01:04.423 --> 00:01:06.669 Now, when you are a corporate leader 23 00:01:06.669 --> 00:01:10.795 and you have to handle that situation, what shall you do? 24 00:01:10.795 --> 00:01:15.617 It's not only about increasing inventory and buffer times, 25 00:01:15.617 --> 00:01:20.617 it is about thinking a completely new supply chain model, 26 00:01:21.100 --> 00:01:23.304 including local sourcing, or dual sourcing, 27 00:01:23.304 --> 00:01:25.053 or triple sourcing, 28 00:01:25.053 --> 00:01:28.120 and also bringing digital transparency 29 00:01:28.120 --> 00:01:31.090 to an end-to-end supply chain management. 30 00:01:31.090 --> 00:01:34.924 All this should be done with a clear perspective 31 00:01:34.924 --> 00:01:39.763 of a net zero supply chain management in the years to come.