WEBVTT 00:00:00.040 --> 00:00:02.160 - The challenge is not in the demand. 00:00:02.160 --> 00:00:03.840 The challenge is in the production. 00:00:03.840 --> 00:00:05.120 - Fabio, welcome. 00:00:05.120 --> 00:00:07.920 Fabio, what does it take to scale defense production 00:00:07.920 --> 00:00:09.280 across Europe today? 00:00:09.280 --> 00:00:10.680 - It's a big challenge, Georgie. 00:00:10.680 --> 00:00:13.160 And I think it's a challenge in multiple layers. 00:00:13.160 --> 00:00:14.280 So first of all, 00:00:14.280 --> 00:00:17.600 it takes a lot of production ramp-up capabilities. 00:00:17.600 --> 00:00:19.600 Because we are a bit in the no man's land, 00:00:19.600 --> 00:00:20.560 I would say, right? 00:00:20.560 --> 00:00:22.880 So defense size and defense scale-up 00:00:22.880 --> 00:00:25.680 is not any more the haute couture size. 00:00:25.680 --> 00:00:27.360 Not yet, though, the mass market. 00:00:27.360 --> 00:00:29.840 We are somewhere in between, so that's very complicated. 00:00:29.840 --> 00:00:32.040 This, I think, is challenge number one. 00:00:32.040 --> 00:00:33.200 Probably challenge number two 00:00:33.200 --> 00:00:35.760 is that the whole supply changed its scale, 00:00:35.760 --> 00:00:37.280 and we need to go deeper into that. 00:00:37.280 --> 00:00:41.040 Meaning, you know, chemicals, propellants, 00:00:41.040 --> 00:00:43.320 a lot of URUs and basic components. 00:00:43.320 --> 00:00:44.720 So everybody needs to scale up, 00:00:44.720 --> 00:00:46.680 and some of these companies are very small. 00:00:46.680 --> 00:00:48.600 And I would say probably a third layer of challenge 00:00:48.600 --> 00:00:51.280 is that we need to scale it while at the same time 00:00:51.280 --> 00:00:54.120 preserving a certain level of sovereignty. 00:00:54.120 --> 00:00:55.560 - Can I ask your views on the fact 00:00:55.560 --> 00:00:59.000 that we're seeing some prime contractors looking 00:00:59.000 --> 00:01:01.640 at unused car factory production lines 00:01:01.640 --> 00:01:02.960 in an effort to boost production? 00:01:02.960 --> 00:01:04.560 What's your view about that? 00:01:04.560 --> 00:01:06.400 Is that the answer? - Yeah, well, 00:01:06.400 --> 00:01:08.680 I'm not among the most enthusiastic on this 00:01:08.680 --> 00:01:09.720 in the sense that, 00:01:09.720 --> 00:01:12.480 let me distinguish probably two layers, Georgie. 00:01:12.480 --> 00:01:16.440 One is, if we think about economy of war, 00:01:16.440 --> 00:01:19.120 should that happen, then, of course, 00:01:19.120 --> 00:01:20.880 countries need to have a plan to take over, 00:01:20.880 --> 00:01:21.720 like happened in World War II, 00:01:21.720 --> 00:01:25.200 to take over the economy, you know, all hands on deck. 00:01:25.200 --> 00:01:27.120 We saw a glimpse of that during COVID, 00:01:27.120 --> 00:01:30.720 where we end up, you know, asking high engineering company 00:01:30.720 --> 00:01:31.800 to produce a ventilator. 00:01:31.800 --> 00:01:34.320 That's emergency answer to an emergency question. 00:01:34.320 --> 00:01:36.000 So let me put that aside. 00:01:36.000 --> 00:01:38.880 If we think about instead normal production ramp-up 00:01:38.880 --> 00:01:40.400 that what we need now, 00:01:40.400 --> 00:01:44.240 I would argue probably automotive, meaning passenger car, 00:01:44.240 --> 00:01:47.000 is not the right answer for the scale I described before. 00:01:47.000 --> 00:01:49.920 I think we're very, very far from those numbers. 00:01:49.920 --> 00:01:52.480 Of course, I mean, automotive can contribute 00:01:52.480 --> 00:01:53.520 for some segments. 00:01:53.520 --> 00:01:55.200 Off-road is a part of automotive. 00:01:55.200 --> 00:01:58.040 Agriculture is a part of automotive, agricultural vehicle. 00:01:58.040 --> 00:01:59.880 So definitely can have a help, 00:01:59.880 --> 00:02:03.240 probably not so much as is, you know, 00:02:03.240 --> 00:02:04.800 reading on the news these days. 00:02:04.800 --> 00:02:06.920 - Where do you think CEOs should be prioritizing 00:02:06.920 --> 00:02:08.120 their resources right now? 00:02:08.120 --> 00:02:10.480 - Well, I think, first and foremost, are visibility, 00:02:10.480 --> 00:02:12.000 because I want to stick on this concept: 00:02:12.000 --> 00:02:14.000 Th challenge is not in the demand. 00:02:14.000 --> 00:02:15.760 The challenge is in the production. 00:02:15.760 --> 00:02:20.000 So I think the first element in an uncertain demand signal 00:02:20.000 --> 00:02:21.800 is visibility on what's coming, 00:02:21.800 --> 00:02:22.840 visibility on what you have, 00:02:22.840 --> 00:02:24.200 visibility on what you don't have. 00:02:24.200 --> 00:02:25.840 I think probably the second layer is, 00:02:25.840 --> 00:02:27.560 for the first time in Europe, 00:02:27.560 --> 00:02:30.040 [there is] a fair shot of the talent market, 00:02:30.040 --> 00:02:31.480 and therefore, that is very important. 00:02:31.480 --> 00:02:33.560 And probably the third element is 00:02:33.560 --> 00:02:35.960 helping your whole supply chain to scale up 00:02:35.960 --> 00:02:38.480 under the guidance probably of the big prime. 00:02:38.480 --> 00:02:40.480 - Fabio, thank you so much for your time. - Pleasure.