WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.000 --> 00:00:01.209 - Hanneke, welcome. 2 00:00:01.209 --> 00:00:04.546 As CEO of one of the world's leading asset managers, 3 00:00:04.546 --> 00:00:06.756 what are you hearing from your clients at the moment 4 00:00:06.756 --> 00:00:09.801 about the biggest challenges that they're facing? 5 00:00:09.801 --> 00:00:12.846 - So the biggest challenge that they faced was that 6 00:00:12.846 --> 00:00:17.851 in 2022 the market went through an enormous downturn. 7 00:00:17.934 --> 00:00:21.604 We saw the conditions change in the market. 8 00:00:21.604 --> 00:00:25.859 We've had about 14, 15 years of low inflation, 9 00:00:25.859 --> 00:00:29.112 low interest rate, and we saw that change to 10 00:00:29.112 --> 00:00:33.074 high inflation and an increased rate environment. 11 00:00:33.074 --> 00:00:36.578 As a consequence of that, plus also the geopolitical tension 12 00:00:36.578 --> 00:00:39.205 we've seen around the world led by the invasion 13 00:00:39.205 --> 00:00:41.082 of the Ukraine by Russia, 14 00:00:41.082 --> 00:00:44.044 we saw markets really move 15 00:00:44.044 --> 00:00:47.380 into a more volatile world. 16 00:00:47.380 --> 00:00:49.716 We saw the value of assets decline 17 00:00:49.716 --> 00:00:51.259 and what was really different, 18 00:00:51.259 --> 00:00:53.428 which is something we hadn't really seen before, 19 00:00:53.428 --> 00:00:56.890 is that both the value of equities declined 20 00:00:56.890 --> 00:00:59.726 by about 20% over a certain period of time, 21 00:00:59.726 --> 00:01:01.978 as well as the value of bonds 22 00:01:01.978 --> 00:01:04.438 because of the increases in rates. 23 00:01:04.438 --> 00:01:09.069 So the conventional 60/40 portfolio 24 00:01:09.069 --> 00:01:11.529 that many clients depended upon 25 00:01:11.529 --> 00:01:15.533 to meet their investment objectives 26 00:01:15.533 --> 00:01:18.328 had the worst returns in 40 years, 27 00:01:18.328 --> 00:01:20.413 they were down by about 24%. 28 00:01:20.413 --> 00:01:24.125 So that diversification benefit that was meant to occur 29 00:01:24.125 --> 00:01:25.960 didn't really materialize. 30 00:01:25.960 --> 00:01:29.380 So as a consequence, clients have moved into 31 00:01:29.380 --> 00:01:31.633 what we call, risk-off territory, 32 00:01:31.633 --> 00:01:33.843 they've switched more into cash. 33 00:01:33.843 --> 00:01:37.180 They've started to come a bit back into fixed income 34 00:01:37.180 --> 00:01:39.516 but they've been very, very cautious 35 00:01:39.516 --> 00:01:41.476 with respect to equities 36 00:01:41.476 --> 00:01:44.896 and are really rethinking their asset allocations. 37 00:01:44.896 --> 00:01:47.023 - So, apart from don't panic, 38 00:01:47.023 --> 00:01:49.192 what are you advising your clients at the moment? 39 00:01:49.192 --> 00:01:51.069 - Actually, very much don't panic, right? 40 00:01:51.069 --> 00:01:53.196 You do need to think about the long term. 41 00:01:53.196 --> 00:01:56.366 It's hard when markets are more volatile 42 00:01:56.366 --> 00:01:59.077 and it's hard when there is so much change 43 00:01:59.077 --> 00:02:02.163 and when the conditions under which 44 00:02:02.163 --> 00:02:04.082 you've been running your portfolios 45 00:02:04.082 --> 00:02:06.960 have changed so dramatically. 46 00:02:06.960 --> 00:02:07.544 have changed so dramatically. 47 00:02:07.544 --> 00:02:12.006 So client engagement is clearly key in everything we do 48 00:02:12.006 --> 00:02:14.968 and that has been even more true 49 00:02:14.968 --> 00:02:18.888 in 2022 and going into 2023. 50 00:02:18.888 --> 00:02:22.976 Now, I do think there are two things happening in '23. 51 00:02:22.976 --> 00:02:25.186 One is we think it's likely that rates 52 00:02:25.186 --> 00:02:27.021 will stay higher for longer. 53 00:02:27.021 --> 00:02:28.982 We also think inflation will 54 00:02:28.982 --> 00:02:32.986 stay a bit higher for longer, as well. 55 00:02:32.986 --> 00:02:35.655 We do believe as a result that fixed income 56 00:02:35.655 --> 00:02:38.658 may offer some attractive opportunities for clients 57 00:02:38.658 --> 00:02:41.995 because yields are up and the prices have fallen. 58 00:02:41.995 --> 00:02:44.914 So while that was not good for portfolios last year, 59 00:02:44.914 --> 00:02:49.252 that provides good opportunities from an entry perspective. 60 00:02:49.252 --> 00:02:52.005 I think it's going to take some time for clients 61 00:02:52.005 --> 00:02:54.841 to really get back into growth equity again, 62 00:02:54.841 --> 00:02:57.844 but in the meantime, they can find good value 63 00:02:57.844 --> 00:02:59.762 in income equities and stock, 64 00:02:59.762 --> 00:03:02.056 really stocks that pay dividends 65 00:03:02.056 --> 00:03:03.850 is where we still see some good value. 66 00:03:03.850 --> 00:03:06.811 So there are some things they can do 67 00:03:06.811 --> 00:03:09.606 but they will have to reallocate their portfolios 68 00:03:09.606 --> 00:03:11.191 and many of them are doing so. 69 00:03:11.191 --> 00:03:11.316 and many of them are doing so. 70 00:03:11.316 --> 00:03:13.067 - So, what are the key trends then 71 00:03:13.067 --> 00:03:15.695 that you are focusing on at the minute? 72 00:03:15.695 --> 00:03:18.198 - So we're focusing, in our business, 73 00:03:18.198 --> 00:03:20.200 we're not immune from those trends, 74 00:03:20.200 --> 00:03:22.952 so we've seen good opportunities for our cash business. 75 00:03:22.952 --> 00:03:26.623 We see good opportunities for our fixed income business. 76 00:03:26.623 --> 00:03:31.002 We also actually see very good opportunities in multi-asset. 77 00:03:31.002 --> 00:03:35.882 So more modern version of what was the old 60/40 portfolio, 78 00:03:35.882 --> 00:03:39.385 which you could call a simplified multi-asset portfolio. 79 00:03:39.385 --> 00:03:42.305 We're now seeing opportunities for clients 80 00:03:42.305 --> 00:03:45.099 to invest in multi-asset portfolios 81 00:03:45.099 --> 00:03:48.436 that include perhaps gold or derivatives 82 00:03:48.436 --> 00:03:51.981 alongside fixed income and equities securities 83 00:03:51.981 --> 00:03:55.735 to create a more outcome-oriented return 84 00:03:55.735 --> 00:03:58.780 rather than just focusing on beating benchmarks. 85 00:03:58.780 --> 00:04:02.408 So I think there are some very exciting opportunities 86 00:04:02.408 --> 00:04:05.036 still to be had to work with our clients 87 00:04:05.036 --> 00:04:06.996 to meet their objectives. 88 00:04:06.996 --> 00:04:08.665 - Hanneke, thank you so much.