WEBVTT 9cca12c0-0616-4693-8da0-0184f5d9a6d2-0 00:00:00.120 --> 00:00:00.720 Thomas, welcome. f05f44fe-347c-4dcb-8d09-34300619507d-0 00:00:01.280 --> 00:00:05.099 If we could just start, what is the link—it seems to be an ever f05f44fe-347c-4dcb-8d09-34300619507d-1 00:00:05.099 --> 00:00:08.680 increasing link—between business and mathematical sciences? fcb32242-ffe2-47b5-8fd2-cfb1496e94bd-0 00:00:09.000 --> 00:00:13.480 So business looks at, is driven by innovation, right? 2c473863-7b63-47d1-96e6-6c7a65d638cc-0 00:00:13.480 --> 00:00:14.800 So what is innovation? ec712a54-480e-4922-8ed9-08689b0adc5a-0 00:00:14.800 --> 00:00:19.600 It's technology, and technology seems to be speeding up, right. c8664c45-399d-41c7-8fcf-00e10d477d29-0 00:00:19.600 --> 00:00:24.010 We know that's happening, and if we can understand how technology c8664c45-399d-41c7-8fcf-00e10d477d29-1 00:00:24.010 --> 00:00:28.220 works, if we can understand the sort of mathematical structure c8664c45-399d-41c7-8fcf-00e10d477d29-2 00:00:28.220 --> 00:00:31.962 behind it, then we can understand why it's speeding up, c8664c45-399d-41c7-8fcf-00e10d477d29-3 00:00:31.962 --> 00:00:35.838 speed it up more and and influence the direction in which c8664c45-399d-41c7-8fcf-00e10d477d29-4 00:00:35.838 --> 00:00:36.440 it grows. dcea2ff5-13ae-4688-9afc-c3dffd434f84-0 00:00:37.280 --> 00:00:40.008 Tell me more, if you would, about the work that you're doing dcea2ff5-13ae-4688-9afc-c3dffd434f84-1 00:00:40.008 --> 00:00:42.601 at the London Institute for Mathematical Sciences and how dcea2ff5-13ae-4688-9afc-c3dffd434f84-2 00:00:42.601 --> 00:00:43.720 that relates to business. df07bf48-ea43-4f7e-857d-f28392ce745b-0 00:00:44.040 --> 00:00:47.767 So we work in a bunch of things ranging from string theory, df07bf48-ea43-4f7e-857d-f28392ce745b-1 00:00:47.767 --> 00:00:51.682 which is a theory of everything, to artificial intelligence of df07bf48-ea43-4f7e-857d-f28392ce745b-2 00:00:51.682 --> 00:00:55.223 new discoveries, but also something called the theory of df07bf48-ea43-4f7e-857d-f28392ce745b-3 00:00:55.223 --> 00:00:56.280 human enterprise. 4c83fa2c-4430-43b4-8902-7f024b0f71df-0 00:00:56.880 --> 00:01:01.551 In particular, we've looked at the mathematical structure of 4c83fa2c-4430-43b4-8902-7f024b0f71df-1 00:01:01.551 --> 00:01:05.840 innovation, of how technologies work. And a technology, 25cd73e3-e07a-4e82-bfba-5eb539bb46c9-0 00:01:05.840 --> 00:01:09.384 and the simplest definition of a technology comes from Brian 25cd73e3-e07a-4e82-bfba-5eb539bb46c9-1 00:01:09.384 --> 00:01:11.360 Arthur at the Santa Fe Institute. 2b268625-5b05-400a-bb3c-53d5e83bbffd-0 00:01:11.680 --> 00:01:15.575 Technology is a combination of more primitive technologies, 2b268625-5b05-400a-bb3c-53d5e83bbffd-1 00:01:15.575 --> 00:01:19.536 which harnesses the scientific principle. And then when that 2b268625-5b05-400a-bb3c-53d5e83bbffd-2 00:01:19.536 --> 00:01:23.237 technology, it becomes useful and becomes recognized, it 2b268625-5b05-400a-bb3c-53d5e83bbffd-3 00:01:23.237 --> 00:01:25.120 becomes a building block for 5ea76e08-515e-47dd-b84c-516892c0e365-0 00:01:25.200 --> 00:01:29.240 even, you know, more advanced technologies like a touchscreen. 7b09ac74-050f-464d-84bb-4fa3941b7510-0 00:01:29.240 --> 00:01:31.577 A touchscreen is made as a complex technology, but 7b09ac74-050f-464d-84bb-4fa3941b7510-1 00:01:31.577 --> 00:01:34.328 eventually people think, oh, I've got a touchscreen, that's 7b09ac74-050f-464d-84bb-4fa3941b7510-2 00:01:34.328 --> 00:01:35.520 one of my building blocks. b67c1ec7-2c45-419d-b398-5855e6a023b3-0 00:01:35.520 --> 00:01:37.000 I got this, overall combined those. 82b1bf93-3673-420b-ae21-215adbf52037-0 00:01:37.280 --> 00:01:41.160 So technology has this recursive structure, you know. Primitive 82b1bf93-3673-420b-ae21-215adbf52037-1 00:01:41.160 --> 00:01:44.920 ones make more complex ones, just make yet more complex ones. a435b8e1-fdf0-423e-a267-d16060ca393f-0 00:01:45.160 --> 00:01:48.231 And it's that recursive structure that we can understand a435b8e1-fdf0-423e-a267-d16060ca393f-1 00:01:48.231 --> 00:01:49.040 mathematically. 05d85b03-1cad-4e5b-b334-1558191fc387-0 00:01:49.400 --> 00:01:49.920 Fantastic. f6434b6a-75b0-4447-b6c9-0d2869697654-0 00:01:50.560 --> 00:01:54.265 Tell me if you would, about your collaboration with BCG Henderson f6434b6a-75b0-4447-b6c9-0d2869697654-1 00:01:54.265 --> 00:01:56.680 Institute, particularly around innovation. 037b42ca-70a8-4a8e-aeb1-29293808a05c-0 00:01:57.240 --> 00:02:01.869 So that came about several years ago when I got an e-mail from 037b42ca-70a8-4a8e-aeb1-29293808a05c-1 00:02:01.869 --> 00:02:04.000 someone called Martin Reeves. 866b48ba-cb31-4332-9f51-b74e303bf256-0 00:02:05.200 --> 00:02:08.783 He said, look, is innovation like evolution or is it 866b48ba-cb31-4332-9f51-b74e303bf256-1 00:02:08.783 --> 00:02:10.880 something different on its own? 0b3e426e-3e2a-4ba2-9bdd-227b66720519-0 00:02:11.600 --> 00:02:15.460 And we met and started thinking about that, started working on 0b3e426e-3e2a-4ba2-9bdd-227b66720519-1 00:02:15.460 --> 00:02:19.198 it and we found, well, actually innovation and evolution are 0b3e426e-3e2a-4ba2-9bdd-227b66720519-2 00:02:19.198 --> 00:02:20.239 different things. 2f7cb364-cdf9-4374-968c-bdd736ae0e04-0 00:02:20.240 --> 00:02:24.080 Innovation doesn't imitate biology, how life advances. a119074f-2134-441b-bf2f-addb32e47acf-0 00:02:24.840 --> 00:02:27.040 It has its own sort of mathematical structure. b5d6076b-e2bd-4d7b-b454-3316e21732bc-0 00:02:27.360 --> 00:02:31.096 And we dug into that. And it's quite beautiful, the mathematics b5d6076b-e2bd-4d7b-b454-3316e21732bc-1 00:02:31.096 --> 00:02:31.680 behind it. a519bc22-1db8-4f9c-a239-ca6a1fe2c9da-0 00:02:32.440 --> 00:02:36.669 And in fact, we found that you can, understand what the factors a519bc22-1db8-4f9c-a239-ca6a1fe2c9da-1 00:02:36.669 --> 00:02:40.833 are that speed it up and you can look to different sectors and a519bc22-1db8-4f9c-a239-ca6a1fe2c9da-2 00:02:40.833 --> 00:02:44.600 influence how different sectors grow relative to others. 6548fe78-77ab-4466-8bc9-7d0f1ac78b63-0 00:02:45.360 --> 00:02:48.374 How is that—and bear with me in layman's terms here—how is that 6548fe78-77ab-4466-8bc9-7d0f1ac78b63-1 00:02:48.374 --> 00:02:51.200 applicable in the real world, what you've been discovering? 63fc38ec-9cf2-4f18-a2fe-18b171f02593-0 00:02:52.040 --> 00:02:55.908 So you know a lot of people think that the future happens to 63fc38ec-9cf2-4f18-a2fe-18b171f02593-1 00:02:55.908 --> 00:02:59.903 us. But Peter Thiel said to a recent debate, he says you know, 63fc38ec-9cf2-4f18-a2fe-18b171f02593-2 00:02:59.903 --> 00:03:03.582 but you and I are creating it right now. And you know the 63fc38ec-9cf2-4f18-a2fe-18b171f02593-3 00:03:03.582 --> 00:03:07.577 direction that technology takes isn't just something you know, 63fc38ec-9cf2-4f18-a2fe-18b171f02593-4 00:03:07.577 --> 00:03:09.480 like we're watching the movie. 871b145d-e2f4-43da-b692-c116e904a016-0 00:03:09.480 --> 00:03:10.720 We're actors in the movie. e38830d3-dac2-42a1-854a-c1f61124da53-0 00:03:11.080 --> 00:03:16.066 So, you know, the technologies that we push, you know the way e38830d3-dac2-42a1-854a-c1f61124da53-1 00:03:16.066 --> 00:03:20.891 that we think of how, of the modules that make up, the ones e38830d3-dac2-42a1-854a-c1f61124da53-2 00:03:20.891 --> 00:03:25.475 that we promote, have a profound effect on the future of e38830d3-dac2-42a1-854a-c1f61124da53-3 00:03:25.475 --> 00:03:26.360 technology. bb4c992c-486c-45a7-aa8b-eea0aac951ab-0 00:03:26.960 --> 00:03:30.813 So, you know, small choices we make now get amplified as bb4c992c-486c-45a7-aa8b-eea0aac951ab-1 00:03:30.813 --> 00:03:34.600 technologies, you know, give birth to new technologies. ac5a99c5-59cf-4b7c-beca-1f944ee39d6c-0 00:03:35.080 --> 00:03:37.480 You've also been looking at AI assisted discoveries. 20c37bdb-9036-4600-8a5b-a014ac7716e5-0 00:03:37.480 --> 00:03:39.120 Tell me about, tell me about that. 61b53ab1-7abc-4d76-b9e4-ecdb040220cd-0 00:03:39.600 --> 00:03:41.320 So a lot of people. b119072e-3fa3-4e74-b980-51ab8dca4347-0 00:03:41.640 --> 00:03:43.480 So first of all, I'm a great AI skeptic. 3cbbd29f-f18d-4dfd-9749-7ee004054ac6-0 00:03:43.520 --> 00:03:46.440 So in general, I think AI is like Explain? Well, I think, you 3cbbd29f-f18d-4dfd-9749-7ee004054ac6-1 00:03:46.440 --> 00:03:49.549 know, what's amazing about AI is not how much it's done, it's how 3cbbd29f-f18d-4dfd-9749-7ee004054ac6-2 00:03:49.549 --> 00:03:50.680 little it's done, right. afa5c665-c2f1-4e0f-8f4f-adbc03ebc8d0-0 00:03:50.680 --> 00:03:54.040 I mean, basically AI right now is automated curve fitting. 0e02fad6-8c7b-4c9f-b25e-a1dfe27402e3-0 00:03:54.440 --> 00:03:58.711 But here's where I think it's going to make its first steps in 0e02fad6-8c7b-4c9f-b25e-a1dfe27402e3-1 00:03:58.711 --> 00:04:00.000 the creative world. 7d281fad-247a-49fe-9a43-d6f5e123f790-0 00:04:00.520 --> 00:04:02.320 So this is something a lot of people think about. 88aec95b-a437-43a8-826f-d8709d15edbb-0 00:04:02.320 --> 00:04:03.520 Well, AI is not creative. f26d5414-9336-49a9-aa8c-fff7ab6515c2-0 00:04:03.520 --> 00:04:04.800 It's not really creative, right? 775d49e0-d333-4ec0-96d5-da902e346b62-0 00:04:04.800 --> 00:04:07.360 And maybe it can, you know, construct silly poems. 5b2a80e5-b51a-4637-a081-5a35ebf1a02f-0 00:04:07.720 --> 00:04:12.343 But I think, counterintuitively, the first time we're going to 5b2a80e5-b51a-4637-a081-5a35ebf1a02f-1 00:04:12.343 --> 00:04:16.012 see creative AI is in mathematics and theoretical 5b2a80e5-b51a-4637-a081-5a35ebf1a02f-2 00:04:16.012 --> 00:04:16.600 physics. 31bc2c7e-4995-4f6b-9c21-5401daf9b7b2-0 00:04:16.800 --> 00:04:20.090 Now you may think that's nuts, but there are two reasons for 31bc2c7e-4995-4f6b-9c21-5401daf9b7b2-1 00:04:20.090 --> 00:04:20.360 that. f5db4c62-f7d2-43a5-a919-cf99e33f4255-0 00:04:20.880 --> 00:04:24.755 Well, the the main reason is that and this sounds, this is a f5db4c62-f7d2-43a5-a919-cf99e33f4255-1 00:04:24.755 --> 00:04:28.440 mad thing, that in mathematics there are no coincidences. 8198ae60-eb68-42dd-95c8-cabb67ee881f-0 00:04:29.320 --> 00:04:32.120 And I mean that there are no false positives, there are no 8198ae60-eb68-42dd-95c8-cabb67ee881f-1 00:04:32.120 --> 00:04:32.880 false negatives. 1ce357d8-fee5-499f-a8b4-c6648b3c3885-0 00:04:33.440 --> 00:04:35.943 Whereas in, you know, in ordinary life there are all 1ce357d8-fee5-499f-a8b4-c6648b3c3885-1 00:04:35.943 --> 00:04:38.918 sorts of false positives like. You know, is this, you know, is 1ce357d8-fee5-499f-a8b4-c6648b3c3885-2 00:04:38.918 --> 00:04:41.799 this gene connected to that disease or is that just a fluke. 379c446a-edc2-48d0-9e55-840de3c716e1-0 00:04:42.000 --> 00:04:45.131 So there are no flukes in in theoretical physics and 379c446a-edc2-48d0-9e55-840de3c716e1-1 00:04:45.131 --> 00:04:45.840 mathematics. e31665a0-50df-4bec-876a-96fdf1a1f7be-0 00:04:45.840 --> 00:04:48.937 So AI, which is really good at detecting patterns, when it e31665a0-50df-4bec-876a-96fdf1a1f7be-1 00:04:48.937 --> 00:04:51.720 detects those patterns, those patterns have meaning. 6d26b00c-7ca6-404c-a9b0-92ff85c26c83-0 00:04:52.680 --> 00:04:53.520 And that's creative. 0afc064e-3d0e-4924-b000-cc773bee41d2-0 00:04:54.600 --> 00:04:57.434 Well, I mean, some people would say pure mathematics is it's the 0afc064e-3d0e-4924-b000-cc773bee41d2-1 00:04:57.434 --> 00:04:58.960 height of human creativity, right? f1bb25e3-23e2-47cf-9c29-b1a6534ff93f-0 00:04:59.000 --> 00:05:02.000 Like, you know, how do we form a new conjecture? a2a2aa5a-9c6b-4009-9a92-3f47c97635fe-0 00:05:02.120 --> 00:05:05.780 You know, how do you, how did Gauss prove the density of the a2a2aa5a-9c6b-4009-9a92-3f47c97635fe-1 00:05:05.780 --> 00:05:07.040 prime numbers, right? d53ab491-1d34-4e63-9b71-8d3db68b8434-0 00:05:07.040 --> 00:05:10.273 Well, there's a lot of new properties of the mathematical d53ab491-1d34-4e63-9b71-8d3db68b8434-1 00:05:10.273 --> 00:05:12.280 world and the physics world, right? 8fc87c6a-8e39-44e1-93de-10a263f95cd3-0 00:05:12.280 --> 00:05:13.760 I mean, physics is broken. 698d672a-0ffe-4c49-a98a-7b896d1a4941-0 00:05:13.760 --> 00:05:15.080 We're missing big parts of it. ef5966bb-ad91-4dba-ba87-62a0f2f2dec5-0 00:05:15.240 --> 00:05:16.920 Who's going to find those new things? a6141c68-388f-4b31-aa49-d2b91b0f4dba-0 00:05:17.000 --> 00:05:20.038 Where are those new conjectures, those new ideas going to come a6141c68-388f-4b31-aa49-d2b91b0f4dba-1 00:05:20.038 --> 00:05:20.280 from? 1ac34773-2603-498c-8a12-6899ffb3d50d-0 00:05:20.680 --> 00:05:23.160 And an AI can guide us, right? ddcb29d9-68be-4e05-ab17-267f2b3d49c6-0 00:05:23.160 --> 00:05:25.765 It's not, it can't do it for us, but it can guide us in the right ddcb29d9-68be-4e05-ab17-267f2b3d49c6-1 00:05:25.765 --> 00:05:26.160 direction. 89c5e1e2-7e0e-4ce3-a490-afe211208092-0 00:05:26.160 --> 00:05:30.354 So we sometimes call this AI assisted discovery and this is 89c5e1e2-7e0e-4ce3-a490-afe211208092-1 00:05:30.354 --> 00:05:33.780 something that the Bruce Henderson Institute has 89c5e1e2-7e0e-4ce3-a490-afe211208092-2 00:05:33.780 --> 00:05:34.480 supported. f52bbc18-b4f0-42d5-97ca-a6fdd0e3ad80-0 00:05:34.480 --> 00:05:39.497 We've had you know—actually, our group in London is is leading f52bbc18-b4f0-42d5-97ca-a6fdd0e3ad80-1 00:05:39.497 --> 00:05:43.240 the world in AI assisted conjecture formation. d628c7dd-8171-4390-9581-71a5512c6e4a-0 00:05:43.680 --> 00:05:44.920 Thomas, absolute pleasure. 99f9a0e7-9f5f-4a30-ab0e-c5c8468b4c42-0 00:05:44.960 --> 00:05:45.720 Thank you so much. 282c9c9a-4238-43b4-8901-2c9050329def-0 00:05:45.920 --> 00:05:46.320 Thank you.