WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.512 --> 00:00:03.845 (pensive music playing) 2 00:00:07.140 --> 00:00:09.090 Jose-Manuel, it's a pleasure to have you here 3 00:00:09.090 --> 00:00:11.970 at the European CFO conference of BCG. 4 00:00:11.970 --> 00:00:13.050 Thank you for being with us. 5 00:00:13.050 --> 00:00:13.883 My pleasure. 6 00:00:13.883 --> 00:00:15.180 Europe is at the crossroads, right? 7 00:00:15.180 --> 00:00:16.890 If you look at the dowry report, 8 00:00:16.890 --> 00:00:18.990 the testament of overregulation, 9 00:00:18.990 --> 00:00:21.180 and investments that we need to do, 10 00:00:21.180 --> 00:00:23.550 what is your current take on that situation? 11 00:00:23.550 --> 00:00:25.530 I agree, basically, that assessment. 12 00:00:25.530 --> 00:00:27.420 And I believe we need to do much more. 13 00:00:27.420 --> 00:00:29.740 But you know, in democracy 14 00:00:31.140 --> 00:00:33.540 there is always an opportunity, 15 00:00:33.540 --> 00:00:36.030 if the companies, if the business, 16 00:00:36.030 --> 00:00:37.200 if the people in general, 17 00:00:37.200 --> 00:00:38.850 express their concerns, 18 00:00:38.850 --> 00:00:42.900 they will make the decision makers aware 19 00:00:42.900 --> 00:00:45.120 that some decisions have to be made. 20 00:00:45.120 --> 00:00:46.740 And I believe this time has come. 21 00:00:46.740 --> 00:00:49.500 Are we in a trade-off between sustainability and climate 22 00:00:49.500 --> 00:00:50.670 versus competitiveness? 23 00:00:50.670 --> 00:00:54.060 I believe the trend will do something on climate change 24 00:00:54.060 --> 00:00:55.560 will remain very strong, 25 00:00:55.560 --> 00:00:58.170 because in fact it's a substantial problem for our planet. 26 00:00:58.170 --> 00:01:01.020 But also, let's also do it in a way 27 00:01:01.020 --> 00:01:02.460 that our industry does not feel 28 00:01:02.460 --> 00:01:04.500 that they are put at a competitive advantage, 29 00:01:04.500 --> 00:01:06.870 and that our less-wealthy people 30 00:01:06.870 --> 00:01:09.150 feel that the pain is too high on them. 31 00:01:09.150 --> 00:01:14.150 So we have to recalibrate the climate transition policy 32 00:01:15.210 --> 00:01:17.100 with concerns of competitiveness, 33 00:01:17.100 --> 00:01:21.780 and concerns of equality, and justice, and social matters. 34 00:01:21.780 --> 00:01:22.740 If you don't do it, 35 00:01:22.740 --> 00:01:25.320 there will be a huge backlash against that agenda. 36 00:01:25.320 --> 00:01:26.940 And when you look at the different unions 37 00:01:26.940 --> 00:01:28.080 that we already have, right? 38 00:01:28.080 --> 00:01:29.850 So we do have the monetary union, 39 00:01:29.850 --> 00:01:31.260 we don't have the fiscal union, 40 00:01:31.260 --> 00:01:32.670 we don't have the political union. 41 00:01:32.670 --> 00:01:34.470 And on defense, 42 00:01:34.470 --> 00:01:36.630 where would you think we are on the different levels 43 00:01:36.630 --> 00:01:38.520 of being united as Europeans? 44 00:01:38.520 --> 00:01:40.230 And where do we actually progress at the moment? 45 00:01:40.230 --> 00:01:42.300 For unfortunate reasons, 46 00:01:42.300 --> 00:01:44.820 Europeans are going to do much more, in terms of defense. 47 00:01:44.820 --> 00:01:45.653 From my point of view, 48 00:01:45.653 --> 00:01:48.390 hopefully not in contradiction with NATO, 49 00:01:48.390 --> 00:01:49.590 but complementing NATO. 50 00:01:49.590 --> 00:01:53.250 So a stronger European security and defense identity 51 00:01:53.250 --> 00:01:55.950 as a pillar of the transatlantic alliance, 52 00:01:55.950 --> 00:01:56.970 this is happening. 53 00:01:56.970 --> 00:01:59.430 Another area that I believe it's critically important is 54 00:01:59.430 --> 00:02:01.500 financial markets union. 55 00:02:01.500 --> 00:02:04.080 Because that's one of the problems of our competitiveness, 56 00:02:04.080 --> 00:02:05.550 disadvantage with the United States. 57 00:02:05.550 --> 00:02:07.170 Our companies don't have the access 58 00:02:07.170 --> 00:02:09.390 to the depths of the financial markets 59 00:02:09.390 --> 00:02:11.880 that our partners in the US have. 60 00:02:11.880 --> 00:02:14.820 So that should be a priority. 61 00:02:14.820 --> 00:02:16.770 In the light of Trump's agenda 62 00:02:16.770 --> 00:02:18.420 of "Making America Great Again," right? 63 00:02:18.420 --> 00:02:20.970 So we are talking, and discussing tariffs, and so forth. 64 00:02:20.970 --> 00:02:23.460 What do you think the immediate consequences would be 65 00:02:23.460 --> 00:02:25.350 when another tariffs come? 66 00:02:25.350 --> 00:02:29.220 I think the Europeans have to organize themselves, 67 00:02:29.220 --> 00:02:31.770 and speak with one voice with our American friends, 68 00:02:31.770 --> 00:02:35.880 and say, look, this will have very negative consequences 69 00:02:35.880 --> 00:02:37.260 in overall relationship. 70 00:02:37.260 --> 00:02:38.730 You cannot ask us, for instance, 71 00:02:38.730 --> 00:02:41.100 to have common geopolitical positions 72 00:02:41.100 --> 00:02:42.510 on some delicate matters, 73 00:02:42.510 --> 00:02:45.120 and afterwards punish us with tariffs. 74 00:02:45.120 --> 00:02:47.640 Ideally, that could make 75 00:02:47.640 --> 00:02:50.520 the new American administration to think again, 76 00:02:50.520 --> 00:02:53.120 and at least to exclude Europe 77 00:02:53.120 --> 00:02:56.910 from some of these tariffs that they are planning. 78 00:02:56.910 --> 00:02:58.710 If we don't succeed, 79 00:02:58.710 --> 00:03:01.590 and there is a high possibility that we don't succeed, 80 00:03:01.590 --> 00:03:03.240 in convincing new administration 81 00:03:03.240 --> 00:03:06.030 to avoid these tariff measures, 82 00:03:06.030 --> 00:03:07.597 Mr. Trump said recently, 83 00:03:07.597 --> 00:03:10.827 "The most beautiful word in the dictionary is 'tariffs.'" 84 00:03:10.827 --> 00:03:12.030 (Jose-Manuel laughing) 85 00:03:12.030 --> 00:03:14.700 If we don't convince him, in that case, 86 00:03:14.700 --> 00:03:16.713 Europe has to take retaliatory measures. 87 00:03:17.790 --> 00:03:20.580 Which is unfortunate, but there is no other way. 88 00:03:20.580 --> 00:03:23.460 So the possibility of a trade war, today, 89 00:03:23.460 --> 00:03:25.980 is a very serious possibility. 90 00:03:25.980 --> 00:03:27.960 Final question, short one, 91 00:03:27.960 --> 00:03:29.850 the current situation and the ambiguity: 92 00:03:29.850 --> 00:03:32.220 Rather a crisis or rather a chance? 93 00:03:32.220 --> 00:03:33.720 Crises are opportunities and chances, 94 00:03:33.720 --> 00:03:35.643 and this type of crisis, 95 00:03:38.280 --> 00:03:39.870 [it is] opportunity for Europe. 96 00:03:39.870 --> 00:03:40.830 Why? 97 00:03:40.830 --> 00:03:45.483 Because it forces us to make some decisions. 98 00:03:46.470 --> 00:03:49.260 In Europe, by definition, because we are 27 countries, 99 00:03:49.260 --> 00:03:50.866 we're not 1 country, 100 00:03:50.866 --> 00:03:55.470 the temptation is to procrastinate, 101 00:03:55.470 --> 00:03:58.230 to find some kind of middle ground, 102 00:03:58.230 --> 00:03:59.910 and not to take a decision. 103 00:03:59.910 --> 00:04:04.200 And now some of these trends are so dramatic, 104 00:04:04.200 --> 00:04:07.380 that they will most likely force us to take a decision. 105 00:04:07.380 --> 00:04:08.880 Let's hope it'll be the right one. 106 00:04:08.880 --> 00:04:11.040 Jose-Manuel, thank you very much for being with us. 107 00:04:11.040 --> 00:04:11.960 Thank you. 108 00:04:11.960 --> 00:04:15.293 (pensive music playing)