WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.125 --> 00:00:00.917 David, welcome. 2 00:00:01.292 --> 00:00:03.920 Just talk to me about some of the biggest investment trends 3 00:00:03.920 --> 00:00:05.922 we're seeing in North America at the moment. 4 00:00:05.922 --> 00:00:09.426 Of course. So we're focused on opportunistic credit, Special 5 00:00:09.426 --> 00:00:11.136 Situations and private equity. 6 00:00:11.553 --> 00:00:14.014 And first off, people are just sometimes surprised by the 7 00:00:14.014 --> 00:00:16.725 amount of opportunity that we're seeing in North America right 8 00:00:16.725 --> 00:00:16.891 now. 9 00:00:17.434 --> 00:00:18.893 We like the complex stuff. 10 00:00:18.893 --> 00:00:22.063 We invest in businesses and transformation companies going 11 00:00:22.063 --> 00:00:25.191 through cycles, even buying businesses out of bankruptcy. 12 00:00:25.692 --> 00:00:29.571 There's a lot more of that going on than people expect for a 13 00:00:29.571 --> 00:00:31.990 world where USGDP growth is positive. 14 00:00:32.407 --> 00:00:36.578 Equity markets are at all time highs. And what we're finding is 15 00:00:36.578 --> 00:00:40.123 the economic cycle we have in the US, solidly in plus 16 00:00:40.123 --> 00:00:40.749 territory, 17 00:00:41.082 --> 00:00:41.958 It's been uneven. 18 00:00:41.958 --> 00:00:45.545 The benefit across the economy hasn't been the same. Sectors 19 00:00:45.545 --> 00:00:48.298 like real estate, construction, manufacturing. 20 00:00:48.506 --> 00:00:51.634 It's almost 30% of the economy, and it's it's not doing as well 21 00:00:51.634 --> 00:00:53.219 as you think from the headlines. 22 00:00:53.970 --> 00:00:58.058 At the same time, in the credit world, we're finding 5% interest 23 00:00:58.058 --> 00:00:58.433 rates. 24 00:00:58.433 --> 00:01:00.852 Of course, for the first time in 15 years. 25 00:01:01.561 --> 00:01:04.981 Companies, capital structures, they just weren't built for a 5% 26 00:01:04.981 --> 00:01:05.273 world. 27 00:01:05.648 --> 00:01:08.485 So more of them are defaulting, more of them are fixing their 28 00:01:08.485 --> 00:01:11.488 debt outside of a court and that creates opportunities for a firm 29 00:01:11.488 --> 00:01:11.946 like ours. 30 00:01:12.405 --> 00:01:15.658 So we've bought 5 businesses in the last few years here in North 31 00:01:15.658 --> 00:01:18.745 America, all in these kinds of different interesting Special 32 00:01:18.745 --> 00:01:21.748 Situations. Good companies, market leaders who are growing, 33 00:01:21.748 --> 00:01:23.541 but they're in some kind of a jam. 34 00:01:24.250 --> 00:01:26.753 And we've been able to come into those situations and help those 35 00:01:26.753 --> 00:01:28.838 companies out by making this kind of an opportunistic 36 00:01:28.838 --> 00:01:29.297 investment. 37 00:01:29.589 --> 00:01:31.299 At the same time, there have been a lot of loans. 38 00:01:31.299 --> 00:01:32.926 There's been distressed debt buys too. 39 00:01:33.343 --> 00:01:36.262 And it's all yielded an interesting cycle of opportunity 40 00:01:36.262 --> 00:01:36.596 for us. 41 00:01:37.013 --> 00:01:40.141 How do you adapt your investment strategy to changing market 42 00:01:40.141 --> 00:01:40.683 conditions? 43 00:01:41.351 --> 00:01:41.601 Yeah. 44 00:01:41.601 --> 00:01:42.644 And so we do two things. 45 00:01:42.685 --> 00:01:44.604 We go to where the opportunity is. 46 00:01:45.188 --> 00:01:47.690 And for us, that's a broad geographic reach. 47 00:01:47.816 --> 00:01:50.443 About half of our firm is based in Western Europe, about half 48 00:01:50.443 --> 00:01:51.402 here in North America. 49 00:01:51.986 --> 00:01:54.989 It's a broad strategy reach—everything from buying 50 00:01:54.989 --> 00:01:58.118 into public credit to making private loans to buying 51 00:01:58.118 --> 00:02:01.204 businesses and helping them through the turn around. 52 00:02:02.163 --> 00:02:05.500 And we also go across asset classes, many investors in our 53 00:02:05.500 --> 00:02:08.753 space, they're all corporates or they're all real estate. 54 00:02:08.920 --> 00:02:11.840 We do a real mix of those, of corporate businesses and real 55 00:02:11.840 --> 00:02:14.509 and hard asset classes and that lets us go to where the 56 00:02:14.509 --> 00:02:16.886 opportunity is at different points in the cycle. 57 00:02:17.053 --> 00:02:19.556 There's always a cycle going on somewhere, you know, if you know 58 00:02:19.556 --> 00:02:21.933 how to find it and if you have some of the resources available 59 00:02:21.933 --> 00:02:23.518 to actually go and take advantage of it. 60 00:02:23.810 --> 00:02:26.771 Where do you see the key opportunities over the next few 61 00:02:26.771 --> 00:02:28.940 years for the asset management industry? 62 00:02:29.274 --> 00:02:29.816 Yeah, it's OK. 63 00:02:29.816 --> 00:02:32.068 I think of it in terms of industries and I think of it in 64 00:02:32.068 --> 00:02:33.987 terms of that credit cycle we were talking about. 65 00:02:33.987 --> 00:02:37.699 And so, look, with that credit cycle, this 5% interest rate 66 00:02:37.699 --> 00:02:41.452 world, it's something all of private equity has to adapt to. 67 00:02:41.786 --> 00:02:45.081 It's something all of the credit world has to adapt to, and it 68 00:02:45.081 --> 00:02:48.168 spins off all kinds of different interesting opportunities. 69 00:02:48.626 --> 00:02:51.171 You know, private equity funds are under more pressure than 70 00:02:51.171 --> 00:02:52.672 we've seen here in 10 years, right? 71 00:02:52.672 --> 00:02:55.842 They're portfolio companies. Again, they just weren't made 72 00:02:55.842 --> 00:02:59.012 for a 5% type world and they didn't all get the growth that 73 00:02:59.012 --> 00:03:00.263 they had bargained for. 74 00:03:00.889 --> 00:03:03.391 And so we see a lot of opportunity in buying businesses 75 00:03:03.391 --> 00:03:06.352 from them that need a little bit of capital, need a little bit of 76 00:03:06.352 --> 00:03:07.270 tender, loving, care. 77 00:03:07.896 --> 00:03:10.982 And we see opportunities on the credit side to help out with 78 00:03:10.982 --> 00:03:13.902 these different types of creative re-financings. Lending 79 00:03:13.902 --> 00:03:16.738 into something with a complex structure, lending into a 80 00:03:16.738 --> 00:03:19.699 business where that economic cycle hasn't been so easy on 81 00:03:19.699 --> 00:03:19.949 them. 82 00:03:20.491 --> 00:03:21.826 David, thank you so much. 83 00:03:22.118 --> 00:03:22.452 Thank you.