WEBVTT 1 00:00:00.166 --> 00:00:01.875 The Delta variant of COVID-19 2 00:00:01.875 --> 00:00:04.375 disrupted plans for a smooth recovery. 3 00:00:04.375 --> 00:00:05.875 In places such as the US, 4 00:00:05.875 --> 00:00:08.166 it caused dips in consumer confidence, 5 00:00:08.166 --> 00:00:10.791 while the emerging markets, interestingly enough, 6 00:00:10.791 --> 00:00:12.833 have remained relatively positive, 7 00:00:12.833 --> 00:00:15.000 despite this prolonged pandemic. 8 00:00:15.000 --> 00:00:17.666 Globally, many first-time users have rapidly increased 9 00:00:17.666 --> 00:00:20.166 the adoption of digital tools and services, 10 00:00:20.166 --> 00:00:21.958 with sticky behaviors emerging, 11 00:00:21.958 --> 00:00:25.041 similar to lasting e-commerce adoption in China 12 00:00:25.041 --> 00:00:27.083 after SARS in 2003. 13 00:00:27.083 --> 00:00:29.750 Further, the pandemic has accelerated behaviors 14 00:00:29.750 --> 00:00:31.291 that have become habits: 15 00:00:31.291 --> 00:00:33.500 hybrid working, moving outside of cities, 16 00:00:33.500 --> 00:00:35.625 and home exercising, to name just a few. 17 00:00:35.625 --> 00:00:37.541 It's the adoption of these new habits 18 00:00:37.541 --> 00:00:40.458 that is driving long-lasting shifts toward e-commerce, 19 00:00:40.458 --> 00:00:42.583 digital, and in-home activities. 20 00:00:42.583 --> 00:00:44.708 For example, consumers seeking companionship 21 00:00:44.708 --> 00:00:47.458 during the pandemic increased pet adoption. 22 00:00:47.458 --> 00:00:49.375 That has driven structural increase in demand 23 00:00:49.375 --> 00:00:50.750 for pet supplies and services, 24 00:00:50.750 --> 00:00:53.000 that we're likely to see for a long time to come. 25 00:00:53.000 --> 00:00:54.875 But increased demand in a given space 26 00:00:54.875 --> 00:00:57.250 also is giving rise to shifts in scale 27 00:00:57.250 --> 00:00:58.875 in supply-side economics, 28 00:00:58.875 --> 00:01:02.750 and that in turn can reinforce the customer proposition. 29 00:01:02.750 --> 00:01:06.250 We see this in places such as dark kitchens 30 00:01:06.250 --> 00:01:07.583 and home delivery of food. 31 00:01:08.458 --> 00:01:09.750 This creates a new environment 32 00:01:09.750 --> 00:01:12.041 which businesses need to learn and play in. 33 00:01:12.041 --> 00:01:13.416 Instead of adopting back 34 00:01:13.416 --> 00:01:15.708 to the prepandemic ways of doing business, 35 00:01:15.708 --> 00:01:19.041 executives must reset their assumptions for the categories, 36 00:01:19.041 --> 00:01:21.458 and re-establish new baselines in their business. 37 00:01:21.458 --> 00:01:23.500 And so the opportunity for executives 38 00:01:23.500 --> 00:01:27.166 is to accelerate growth by embracing these new trends, 39 00:01:27.166 --> 00:01:29.708 deeply understanding customer needs, 40 00:01:29.708 --> 00:01:32.708 employing new sophisticated forms of demand sensing, 41 00:01:32.708 --> 00:01:34.750 and then finally, innovating on product, 42 00:01:34.750 --> 00:01:36.041 service, and channel offerings 43 00:01:36.041 --> 00:01:38.291 to align to these new behaviors. 44 00:01:38.291 --> 00:01:40.416 There's a new consumer out there. 45 00:01:40.416 --> 00:01:41.750 The opportunity presents to go get them.