WEBVTT 1 00:00:04.629 --> 00:00:08.383 - Everyone's anticipating a potential economic downturn 2 00:00:08.383 --> 00:00:10.593 and that has major implications 3 00:00:10.593 --> 00:00:12.971 for how companies manage their supply chains. 4 00:00:12.971 --> 00:00:16.891 But they need to learn from their mistakes during Covid. 5 00:00:16.891 --> 00:00:18.435 In early 2020, 6 00:00:18.435 --> 00:00:21.104 companies were afraid of a drop in demand, 7 00:00:21.104 --> 00:00:23.106 so they shut down plants, 8 00:00:23.106 --> 00:00:26.192 let go of workers, and stopped buying raw materials. 9 00:00:26.192 --> 00:00:28.361 But when demand quickly bounced back, 10 00:00:28.361 --> 00:00:31.448 many companies could not ramp up fast enough. 11 00:00:31.448 --> 00:00:32.407 In some cases, 12 00:00:32.407 --> 00:00:34.242 it's taken years to catch up. 13 00:00:34.242 --> 00:00:35.410 Right now, 14 00:00:35.410 --> 00:00:37.662 companies should be scenario-planning 15 00:00:37.662 --> 00:00:41.124 and carefully considering where and how deeply to cut. 16 00:00:41.124 --> 00:00:44.085 The key is to figure out where an investment 17 00:00:44.085 --> 00:00:46.504 in continued capacity has the potential 18 00:00:46.504 --> 00:00:48.339 for the greatest returns. 19 00:00:48.339 --> 00:00:50.425 Whether it's their most profitable products 20 00:00:50.425 --> 00:00:53.386 or those most likely to suffer from market-wide shortages. 21 00:00:53.386 --> 00:00:55.138 When demand does return, 22 00:00:55.138 --> 00:00:58.058 they can capture market share from unprepared competitors, 23 00:00:58.058 --> 00:01:01.019 gains that they'll be able to retain for the long term.