WEBVTT 00:00:00.320 --> 00:00:02.320 The UK is potentially on the brink of its 00:00:02.320 --> 00:00:04.720 largest capital investment uplift in 75 years. 00:00:08.320 --> 00:00:10.400 The push for growth, the energy transition, 00:00:10.400 --> 00:00:12.360 as well as historic underinvestment 00:00:12.360 --> 00:00:14.320 in the UK, mean that between 700 and 900 00:00:14.520 --> 00:00:18.160 billion pounds could be invested in areas such as energy, 00:00:18.400 --> 00:00:20.920 water, and transport over the next five years. 00:00:20.920 --> 00:00:24.640 This would be a two to three times uplift over what has been spent in the past 00:00:24.640 --> 00:00:25.600 five years. 00:00:25.600 --> 00:00:28.600 In many ways, this is a huge opportunity for the UK. 00:00:28.920 --> 00:00:31.200 All this investment is desperately needed. 00:00:31.200 --> 00:00:34.840 But one challenge that very few people are talking about is whether the UK supply 00:00:34.840 --> 00:00:38.640 chains have the speed and scale to actually respond to this properly. 00:00:38.880 --> 00:00:40.960 And at the moment, the answer is no. 00:00:40.960 --> 00:00:42.560 There are three key reasons for this. 00:00:42.560 --> 00:00:44.280 First, capabilities. 00:00:44.280 --> 00:00:45.840 The UK simply doesn't have the number 00:00:45.840 --> 00:00:47.920 of skilled workers to meet this level of demand. 00:00:47.920 --> 00:00:49.560 Just take the fact that over the past 00:00:49.560 --> 00:00:53.200 20 years, the number of welders employed in the UK has declined by 40%. 00:00:53.880 --> 00:00:55.680 Then there's the issue of complexity. 00:00:55.680 --> 00:00:57.840 Over the next five years, we're expecting to see a much higher 00:00:57.840 --> 00:01:00.840 share of large projects, which are inherently more complex. 00:01:01.320 --> 00:01:04.200 And then finally, there's a capacity issue. 00:01:04.200 --> 00:01:07.280 This is not a case of one or two sectors seeing a large capital investment 00:01:07.280 --> 00:01:10.400 uplift, but eight or nine and all these sectors draw 00:01:10.400 --> 00:01:12.360 in the same pool of skills and resources, 00:01:12.360 --> 00:01:15.360 which in turn further exacerbates the existing shortages. 00:01:15.800 --> 00:01:18.720 This all means that announcing projects is the easy part. 00:01:18.720 --> 00:01:20.960 Between 2010 and 2015, 00:01:20.960 --> 00:01:24.240 37% of all the projects that were announced never got completed. 00:01:24.600 --> 00:01:28.080 The challenges that hinder project development are very well known, 00:01:28.320 --> 00:01:29.640 but unless we get on top of them, 00:01:29.640 --> 00:01:32.440 we're never going to meet our investment ambitions. 00:01:32.440 --> 00:01:34.240 Thankfully, these problems are not insurmountable, 00:01:34.240 --> 00:01:37.600 but it does require the public and private sectors to act and to do so together. 00:01:37.840 --> 00:01:40.360 Our report sets out four key areas for urgent action 00:01:40.360 --> 00:01:42.920 to smooth demand and strengthen the UK’s supply chains.